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OrdIowPitMsp

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Everything posted by OrdIowPitMsp

  1. Getting some steady light snow now. Still not entirely sure what to expect besides waking up to rain tomorrow.
  2. Getting into nowcast time and I still have no idea what to expect. Could see a sloppy 5-6” and then changeover to rain or we might stay frozen longer and pile up 12” before changeover. Model mayhem!
  3. I’ve got another month or so until I can grade this winter but preliminary results yield a D-
  4. Bottomed out at 18 here this morning under what remains of yesterdays snow. NWS is really stressing that snow depth will be much lower then final storm totals due to compaction/rain. They must be prepared for the onslaught of complaints when a location reports 12” and there’s only 6-7” in peoples backyards.
  5. Current NWS thinking, this only goes out to Monday morning when it’ll be switching to rain in the metro but still hammering points NW. There could be some 24”+ totals across central/north central Minnesota. I’m expecting the low to bump a bit north of current guidance and cut totals some more here but hopefully the opposite happens.
  6. Measured 3” on the deck. I’m sure there’s been some compaction. Snowing lightly so we might add a little more.
  7. Light snow underway a few hours ahead of schedule and readily accumulating. The last couple days have been below freezing and really cooled the ground off.
  8. My guess is they are waiting until after tonight’s snowfall to avoid confusing the public. Doesn’t make sense to me. My grid forecast for tonight says 3-7” so 4.1” fits nicely in that range.
  9. Bill Borghoff did the afternoon forecast discussion. He mentioned watches coming soon.
  10. P&C was bumped up to 4.1” imby for tonight’s event. NWS must think the heavier band will setup over the twin cities. We shall see. P&C is at 17” for the Sunday/Monday storm. Shocked it’s that high tbh. Models have been trending more frozen precip today but given the complexity of the setup I think it’ll be a nowcast type of storm.
  11. Every Twitter and Facebook metrologist needs to take the highlighted segment to heart.
  12. Wagons north is the trend today. Should still provide hefty precip totals here even if in more liquid form.
  13. NWS tweeted out the data. We’ve moved to #2 just in time for the streak to end!
  14. Quite a bullish afternoon forecast discussion by MPX. This tidbit at the end caught my attention. Things are about to change. “However, after the benign winter and how dry it`s been (MSP is now experiencing their second longest stretch ever with less than 0.01"), this system could bring major impacts to the region for a prolonged period.”
  15. I wonder how many times on record March 16-31 delivered more snow then December 1-March 15.
  16. Hard not to get excited about this upcoming stretch for us in Minnesota.
  17. Local ski hill (Welch Village) closed for the season yesterday. I only made it out 16 times this winter. I’d blame the weather for not getting at least 30 days on the snow but in reality parenting got in the way. Pretty damn proud of how the season went given the multitude of challenges running a ski hill must have been in the Midwest this winter.
  18. Any disappointment I had from missing out on futility was replaced by watching the joy on my kids face. If it ends up being rain or snow, I don’t care at this point. I’m just glad there’s something of interest to track again and hopefully knock back the drought concerns.
  19. Few flurries this morning. Low 20s and breezy, but otherwise the benign weather continues.
  20. The full run GFS gives Minneapolis nearly 30” of snow, starting with a system next Thursday. That would get us within striking distance of normal snowfall for the season. Won’t happen but hopefully this is a signal for some unsettled weather to assist our parched soils.
  21. High clouds. Not a drop of moisture. Just a trace of precipitation through the first half of March.
  22. Seeing some Hastas and Tulips starting to emerge here. Euro beats out the American guidance. Precip chances have been squashed.
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