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RevWarReenactor

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Everything posted by RevWarReenactor

  1. RevWarReenactor
    Yeah im not sure where the disconnect is. This is a panel off the 12z GFS. Its snows, lightly, for nearly 8 hours tomorrow. This looks like far more than an inch. Its not a major storm. But that is screaming 2-4 inches for eastern areas.
  2. RevWarReenactor
    Mt Holly is not at all impressed with tomorrow. Not sure why. Are temps the issue?
  3. RevWarReenactor
    Yeah they will be playing catchup today if the trends continue or if it even holds here.
  4. RevWarReenactor
    We really need two threads now. The nowcasting of this mouse fart is drowning out what looks to be a decent snowstorm tomorrow.
  5. RevWarReenactor
    Its been a long time since something has trended in our favor right before the event. Maybe its not done?
  6. RevWarReenactor
    Oh that is quite a step back. Next run it will be in line with the euro. Garbage model
  7. RevWarReenactor
    It did? Looks about the same as 6z to me. Maybe a slight tick east. Still okay here if I’m setting expectations at 1-2 inches. But yeah- it’s not a reliable model anymore.
  8. RevWarReenactor
    I don't even know much about the science behind it all, and I am a pessimist, but even for me its obvious the potential is there this year. This year has actually been "good". No shutouts, no endless SE ridge and torch. Its obvious the upcoming couple weeks are our best opportunity in years and if we actually walk away from it with nothing, like PSU said, time for a new hobby.
  9. RevWarReenactor
    Is there anything to push that boundary south next weekend? Otherwise it looks to be setting up heartbreak. After a cold week, Great snows just to our north on the 6z GFS. That wouldn't be fun.
  10. RevWarReenactor
    Until Early February, then Valentines is the period to watch, then its actually late February. Then its early March, remember, it can snow in March! Then people keep tracking potential but they are really just tracking spring. Meanwhile we got like 2 inches on the grass during that time. Happens every year. Last time things were actually good was 2014-2015 season; outside of the blizzard of 2016.
  11. RevWarReenactor
    Its kind of interesting how the GFS did the same exact thing with the Thursday storm. Bringing it back on day 4 only to quickly take it away. Also happened to a lesser extent with the Dec 26th storm. Plus no ensemble support. Is something wrong with this model?
  12. RevWarReenactor
    GFS just seems off its game lately. Worse than usual. Not just with this Thursday storm, but I've been tracking snow in other areas of country and its just horribly bad even in the short range.
  13. RevWarReenactor
    Red flag there. Last time we discarded the GEFS and believed the OP model didn't end well.
  14. RevWarReenactor
    12z GFS says, nope, just kidding, not a single flake for us.
  15. RevWarReenactor
    I love how people are saying "this season" will be cooked. We've been cooked for 10 years. I literally have not had a 6+ inch snowstorm here since the blizzard of 2016. I realize that doesn't represent all of the MA. But its overall been terrible for a decade now. This year is actually probably our best in 10 years. At least its not constant torch and we hit December snowfall numbers.
  16. RevWarReenactor
    Wasn't there originally a coastal? That idea is long gone. Now we are just hoping for a quick change over and accumulation. Upside potential is probably limited to under an inch best case. Hardly back from the dead.
  17. RevWarReenactor
    GFS in the extended range reinforces my thoughts going forward. A couple dustings here or there, followed by cutters. Warm wet, cold dry.
  18. RevWarReenactor
    It seems like the cold hasn't been the issue at all this year. No real torch. We just don't do coastal storms anymore for some reason?
  19. RevWarReenactor
    We haven't even had a single model graphic posted in this thread. Its that bad.
  20. RevWarReenactor
    New extended forecast: After the 2 non events later this week and weekend. It will get cold. People will be saying "end of January could be great" but as the days tick on, no threats will materialize. The cold won't last. We will torch some days. Last week in January we will have essentially shut out this month as per usual in the MA. Minus a dusting or two. But people will be saying, "Valentines day, yep, that is the period to watch". Remember this post.
  21. RevWarReenactor
    They keep saying the models are so much better now than they were 30 years ago. Are you sure?
  22. RevWarReenactor
    Ahem I am the best forecaster here.
  23. RevWarReenactor
    You can't seriously be taking anything the GFS says at hr 233 as gospel can you? Last week Chicago went from a Blizzard at hour 141 to a rainstorm one run later.
  24. RevWarReenactor
    We are getting there! I am thinking of doing a mid atlantic wx youtube channel where I always say it will not snow and be the most accurate wx channel out there.
  25. RevWarReenactor
    The flip to cold and snowy by mid January will not happen. You heard it here folks. Fast forward, its January 15th. Meh pattern. Minor cold. Some torch. No snow. But End of January will look great! Lets revisit this post.
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