RevWarReenactor

I guess im not sure what would cause my climo to be different than immediate areas. Such as Baltimore, DC, or even Philadelphia. Can't think of any. I give up! I don't mearue from the street. I measure from the grass, we have literally not had a 6 inch snowstorm since the Blizzard of 2016. Thats not climo. Thats bad luck. YOu are a great forecaster. But you definitely have some weird March fetish. Every March is going to be great, and the truth is, they rarely are. March snow is like begging for scraps after you missed the main meal.

I just have to say it. We've been down this "March will be rocking" every year, and more often than not, it doesn't pan out. Last year was the epic pattern post Feb 20th that never was. I personally think this was our window, and we kind of lost. As I stated, too cold to snow. That aged well. At least DC south managed to score on Jan 6th.

I am in Nassau Bahamas where its 85 degrees out and here I am tracking snow up in the MA for my return. GFS is disappointing. I paid $26.95 for the internet package to be disappointed.

Truly unreal how it can be 27 degrees outside and melting on contact.

Why are we posting these Kuchara maps, aren't temps and daylight going to eat a lot of that t? What is 4 inches kuchara realistically in this setup for I-95? 1-2?

The 6z GFS is a lot of fail. 6 degrees and then a rainer a few days later as it cuts. Reminds me of the Jan 2022 storm where it was Snow 2 inches, then rain and 60.

Thanks for the explanation psu!

Hilarious that it could be more than the storm on Monday for me which was only 2.5 inches. Somehow my parents 120 miles north of me got more snow from that one. Can't figure that out.

Looks like the weakening will happen overnight. So just sleep thru it. Wakeup and get what you get. Maybe some mood flakes.

Just starting here. HRRR seems to be out to lunch. Was disappointed in part 1. I am hoping we can make up for it with at least an inch or two.

Yeah Euro was definitely onto something from the start. But its a great event in that its a cold powder that is sticking everywhere up here. Those are kind of rare here. I'll take that any day. Closing in on 2 inches.

Newark Delaware: Started at 4:15am. Light snow. Coating so far. Im going with 4 inches all said and done here. I think the heavy stuff stays to my south. But it will snow lightly all day probably up until 10pm.

Here in Newark Delaware about 12 miles south of DMB it started snowing at about 4:15am. We got a coating at this point. Snow is light. But it did start snowing as per when the NWS radar showed it. Even here, we are fringy. I expect at best maybe 4 inches. I just don't think we get the heavy stuff. That is really 40 miles to my south.

It kind of isn't. I am fringed, NYC is watching. The confluence is leading to heartbreak in many areas to your north. DC lucked their way into this one. But anyway. Dusting here, hope to get some better rates. Looks like we get some but the heavy stuff stays to my south.

Thanks Matt. 5-7 is my estimate. Would be great to get 6 inches would be our biggest storm here since the Blizzard of 2016. Good luck in your area as well.

Very first flakes just started here in Newark Delaware.

Ill be okay. If your accumulation is map is correct, this could actually be my biggest storm since Blizzard 2016. Only need 6 inches to make that happen. Only other over 4 inch storms since then are Jan 2022 and Jan 2024 and neither of those topped 6 inches. Crazy but true.

Looks like the GFS has finally caved to the Euro. It was definitely singing a much different song yesterday.

Models are still so different. From DC on the edge of being too far south on the NAM, to on the edge of being too far north on the ICON.

That would certainly be a heartbreaker for DC and northern VA given what other guidance is showing for those areas.

Euro creeping north, GFS creeping south. Getting closer to a consensus. Either way DC looks like they are in a perfect spot. Its the Philadelphia and Richmond areas where its a nailbiter.

Of note, today's snow showers have trended north. Originally no further north than southern Delaware , now up into central Jersey. Not sure if that means anything for this storm? Models overdoing the block?

Don't get the NWS call for 1-2 inches here. Can't they look at temps in the upper 30's and put two and two together and see it non accumulating?

Lets be honest here, the Euro is not good news. Especially for areas north of DC. But even DC is not great. But its worlds apart from the GFS/ICON. Everything is still unsolved.

Not to be a negative nancy but aren't temps going to be an issue? I don't see stickage middle of the day with temps in the mid to upper 30's.