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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    The second storm later next week goes OTS
  2. NEG NAO
    Pivotal Weather
  3. NEG NAO
    0Z Modeling Ops all over the place Canadian - not a flake - GFS shredded out maybe a light Accumulation and the Euro a Major Snowstorm - whose a weenie to believe ? Or even a a seasoned MET !
  4. NEG NAO
  5. NEG NAO
  6. NEG NAO
    0Z Euro Saves The Day
  7. NEG NAO
    Canadian still says "What Storms" ? Not interested in developing anything - not a flake here all week
  8. NEG NAO
    because it being 9 days out chances are its confused and wrong........and it is the 18Z with outdated input
  9. NEG NAO
    Probably is a good idea IMO for Walt to start a thread titled "Winter Storms Potential January 6 - 12" so the January thread doesn't reach 50 + pages before January 1st.
  10. NEG NAO
    Canadian stays south and off the coast
  11. NEG NAO
    The Canadian is completely different with the storm still far south
  12. NEG NAO
    11 days out too ! this is pure entertainment till we get into a reasonable range within 7 days at least
  13. NEG NAO
    whens the last time thats happened in the NYC metro in a MECS or HECS ? IMO I would wait till the first of the new year to make a storm thread if the guidance is still showing a chance of a storm........
  14. NEG NAO
    Then the gulf low rounds the corner up the east coast so now there is some agreement with the GFS OP and Euro OP BUT over 11 days out !
  15. NEG NAO
    0Z Euro Jan 6th storm is strong and cuts west of us with lack strong HP in southeast Canada - cold blast follows as another storm is developing out west - then a gulf low develops
  16. NEG NAO
    Until the Canadian and Euro and ensembles agree with the GFS multiple runs in a row on a snowstorm threat in January can't take the GFS seriously and who wants to be in the GFS bullseye this far out ? Sorry have to wait till we get into the 5-7 day range IMO to make a forecast...
  17. NEG NAO
    and all depends where the split flows and we need a buckle in the flow to slow the raging pacific flow down which is going to transport the cold air this week very fast across the country to our neck of the woods.......
  18. NEG NAO
    That storm might become the 50/50 low for the next storm if we are lucky and block the HP hopefully at least 1040 in southeast Canada...
  19. NEG NAO
    and of course it was the 18Z - lets get a few runs in a row of consensus of individual and multiple model ops and ensembles. We all remember the Boxing Day 2010 Blizzard questions were still being asked within 2 days of the event of exactly what the outcome would be......
  20. NEG NAO
    We will post the 0Z snow map too....its too bad all the models can't agree on individual storms this far out as they did with the coming cold blast Jan 2nd
  21. NEG NAO
    yeah if its real - nice to talk about this far out thats about it = patience is the key word right now
  22. NEG NAO
    The 6th Storm isn't cutting as much if the storm is even for real this far out
  23. NEG NAO
    N D J F M Total 1980-81 T 2.8 8.0 T 8.6 19.4
  24. NEG NAO
    fast flow and lack of strong blocking a 1028 retreating HP in Canada won't do it BUT still out of the 5-7 day range for accuracy
  25. NEG NAO
    Just saw this banter thread would be nice to change the title of the thread to Winter 2024 -2025 Banter Thread to make it more obvious .........
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