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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    similar on how it was supposed to set in mid- January ? or before that Christmas week ? my point being nobody knows for sure and its been a winter similar to last winter so far with little cold air and Central Park ending up with only 0.2 inches of snow by Jan 15 the half way point of MET winter......
  2. NEG NAO
    I would wait till tomorrow morning to create a thread for next weeks potential IF there is some various model consensus that it is a real threat for most of the region - plenty of time IMO don't rush it plus I don't like the idea of tracking 3 storms on here at the same time - too confusing and some folks will start talking about the wrong storm in the wrong thread for whatever reason.........in addition too the folks taking a stroll down memory lane discussing storms from years ago......
  3. NEG NAO
    thaw ? thaw from what around here ?........
  4. NEG NAO
    back to reality
  5. NEG NAO
    I would just start with a 12/13 thread - combining storms in one thread turns into confusion around here - plus 1/16 outcome depends on where the next 2 storms end up tracking - very complex.......
  6. NEG NAO
  7. NEG NAO
    Tuesdays storm yes - weekend storm have to consider inland north jersey down to Somerset Northern Middlesex Counties...
  8. NEG NAO
    oh ok - glad we are the same page now
  9. NEG NAO
    huh ? 12Z doesn't show that various model run keep showing south of Raritan River
  10. NEG NAO
    who is us ? wide range of precip types in a small area in the metro
  11. NEG NAO
    and the nights are long..........sad we have to consider that on January 6th - 7th
  12. NEG NAO
    meaning a mixed bag NYC and metro suburbs just west - Hudson - eastern Essex - eastern Union and Northern Middlesex Counties
  13. NEG NAO
    most models have the LP moving away east northeast from the coast and also light snow lingering through Sunday
  14. NEG NAO
    chances are with all the blocking a secondary may develop along the coast south of us - this was discussed by Arcfield Weathers Paul Dorian this morning..
  15. NEG NAO
    yea but that nose might not be real that far out
  16. NEG NAO
    if you are going to be making blanket statements provide some proof.........oh and thanks in advance
  17. NEG NAO
    exactly
  18. NEG NAO
    any documentation provided by those in charge of these models to prove your theory ?
  19. NEG NAO
    its way to early in a borderline situation to be making any call 3 + days out
  20. NEG NAO
    the bigger concern is why are you looking at a mesoscale model this far out ?
  21. NEG NAO
    quite a difference compared to the flawed 12Z run
  22. NEG NAO
    close to half the members are good........
  23. NEG NAO
    relative of Snowman19..........right close up shop with a 1034 HP near Maine and a 987 LP off the coast in January.......
  24. NEG NAO
    yes as I mentioned earlier have to keep an open mind this far in advance and Dr. No might come along after midnight and spoil the party like a couple of days ago - and in another day or so the early mesoscale model crowd will join the discussion.....
  25. NEG NAO
    yes and to think 12 hours ago some including PT and snowman19 were talking NW trends and mostly liquid ........and then that funky looking 12Z EURO
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