CheeselandSkies

Another quick video during the last, intense burst. The heavy stuff has moved on for now. If I didn't know better, I'd say these were summer thunderstorms on radar!

Quick video from a few minutes ago:

A few minutes ago, it started spitting widely spaced but large snowflakes on the southwest side between Whitney & Gammon. Now hearing the sound of sleet/ice pellets hitting the window.

These are not colors I expect to see on the radar during a winter precip event...

Some areas of near 50 dbz returns headed my way. Not used to seeing that with winter precip events.

MKX has WWA out for freezing rain tomorrow night into Wednesday morning, with slightly more significant icing event possible starting Wednesday night,

Oh most definitely, I'm just seeing 1988 and 2012 comparisons pop up in other threads as well and getting antsy, especially coming off this #Polarpocalypse. Not sure where those are coming from though since as you pointed out, the central CONUS has already been much wetter than the winter of 2011-12.

One big difference is that winter of 2011-12 was very mild and dry with very little if any snowpack when March rolled around, which gave us a head start on the drought. This time the Midwest actually has a respectable snowpack built up, although we will lose some of that this weekend, it looks like the warm-up to above freezing will not last long (at least for southern WI).

True, but a lot of things still have to go right. I read on another forum that forecast trough evolution was trending less favorable for severe wx next week, despite the extreme temperature swings we will see. Still plenty of room for things to change, though. However in 2015 a lot of setups didn't hit their ceiling (May 16 being the most notable example) due to early initiation/junk convection. 2016 (apart from Katie/Wynnewood/Sulphur, Dodge City & Chapman) and 2017 panned out in a similar fashion.

I'm feeling something I've not felt in five years (1/2014)...there's a definite chill to the air in my apartment as, after doing well at the outset, my electric heating unit is now struggling to keep up with the cold permeating the walls of the building. I'm glad I kept my long johns on, and I'll be breaking out an extra blanket tonight. Thank goodness this cold blast, as intense as it is, won't last for weeks on end like that one did. My power bills were astronomical that winter. I find it amusing that the CPC hazards outlook has us in much below normal temps for 2/1-2/2, when this deep freeze will actually be breaking. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

Well, survived the first leg of this arctic blast. At 2:45 AM my car sputtered, whined and groaned but did eventually start. The belt screamed like a banshee for about 30 seconds and then went quiet (it always squeaks at least a little on startup any time it's below about 40 degrees, my previous car did that too). Now we'll see if I can get home today and then back in tomorrow morning. Not going outside for any other reason until at least noon tomorrow (it'll still suck then, but will no longer be at such dangerous wind chill extremes).

Ugh. Chilly rain (although I'm sure it will actually feel great after the next 48 hours) and probably not quite warm/moist enough in the warm sector for chase-worthy severe. GFS actually does build some CAPE though so we'll wait and see. In any event, some areas could see thunderstorms less than a week after -50 wind chills. That's nothing short of insane.

Yeah what is up with these insane temperature swings without epic blizzards and or/tornado outbreaks? Temperature extremes and excessive rainfall seem to be the only types of extreme weather we can get to verify in these parts this decade.

Didn't feel *that* bad out going to work this morning and coming home, at least no worse than previous significant Arctic outbreaks in my memory such as early January, 2014. However, the next 48-60 hours is when the bottom falls out with a forecast low of -27 tonight, high of -12 tomorrow with wind chills -45 to -55, and then down to -32 Wednesday night. I am really NOT looking forward to leaving for work the next two nights/mornings (3 AM start time) and nervous about whether my car will start. I *WILL* be breaking out the long underwear. Then there is the total mind screw of a high of 37 forecast for Saturday.

Well I won't begrudge you that since you missed out on a lot of the snow from the earlier storms that scraped by to the south of WI.

Definitely on the low end of the forecast range. Had been stoked for our first double digit storm in over six years.

Yeah, a bit of an underwhelmer probably due to dry air issues. First winter event in a long while I was legit pumped for, too. Oh well, into the ice box we go and while the warm up next weekend will feel great after that, if it (coupled with rain) gets us back to brown bare ground after all this...

Because it would **** our spring? AGAIN?

When was the last time we saw double digits from a single event? Might have been GHD I, although I was living in Milwaukee for that one. Even during the vaunted 2013-14, that was more like a 6" or less event every few days without a real big thumper that stands out. Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

This could be the biggest hit yet for the southern 1/3 of WI. After another rather zzzzzz period in early-mid January, winter sure got real in a hurry. At least it's doing so sooner than '17-'18 did, so with any luck it won't linger into the back half of April again.

Outside my apartment building (with GoPro) as I was about to head in to work at 3 AM. We were in a lull at this time, but it ripped pretty good off and on for most of the pre-dawn hours.

Choo choo, mother****....

After steady snow in Madison since around 4:30, finally got into a heavy band with some bigger flakes.

All quiet at the moment after a dusting on top of a brief period of freezing rate late this morning/early afternoon.

12Z HRRR has us up to 8.4" (Kuchera) by 15Z tomorrow and still snowing. I was thinking the main impacts would be from this evening's rush into the overnight, but it looks like it will be rough well into tomorrow morning.