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CheeselandSkies

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Everything posted by CheeselandSkies

  1. CheeselandSkies
    As in the city in Green County, not Monroe County, correct? Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  2. CheeselandSkies
    I'm heading out the door, will probably head to Portage first and evaluate from there.
  3. CheeselandSkies
    Don't know when was the last time Wisconsin was in a tornado watch with the tornado probabilities in the "high" category. OTOH, it is a fairly large watch.
  4. CheeselandSkies
    Getting that feeling. Only concern is best storm mode will be in worst terrain (similar to Saturday). Fairly typical.
  5. CheeselandSkies
    Ofc HRRR wants to track the strongest simulated cell along the Wisconsin River Valley at the Iowa/Sauk county line.
  6. CheeselandSkies
    15Z HRRR shows the large CAPE hole from the IL MCS and seems to initialize with it on sim reflectivity much better than previous runs...we'll see where it goes from here.
  7. CheeselandSkies
    I figured as much, the question is what will that boundary do when it hits the front and will that airmass be able to recover? Sometimes these organized cold pools can screw things up even with clearing (case in point 6/22/15 which was supposed to be a WI event from Day 3 but ended up in IL as far as ).
  8. CheeselandSkies
    Eastern Iowa clearing, except for what appears to be another storm blowing up in the far SE corner. Look like some sort of boundary flying northward on a collision course with the NE-SW oriented one (the front?) in west-central WI/SE MN.
  9. CheeselandSkies
    Looks like most of MO/IA are clear.
  10. CheeselandSkies
    Nearly full sunshine here for the moment, but that cloud deck from the IL MCS is about to encroach from the south. Based on the way it's expanding, it may be around for a while. If it is indeed developing a cold pool, we'll have to hope it can recover. Monday didn't clear out until well into the afternoon, but if I recall correctly those morning storms didn't create an organized cold pool.
  11. CheeselandSkies
    Expanded significantly at 13Z. We're getting some cloud breaks already. Yesterday felt so strange with so much sunshine in the morning/early afternoon of an expected severe weather day in this region.
  12. CheeselandSkies
    So ofc they put it in MI.
  13. CheeselandSkies
    Just saw a nice CG from my porch (missed it with the video, of course). My plant stands probably would have blown over had I not secured them to the railing with zip ties (they stayed upright the night in late July when those midnight tornadoes passed about a mile west of here, that was before I added the zip ties). Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  14. CheeselandSkies
    Getting breezy out there... Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  15. CheeselandSkies
    Linear trash, that's what.
  16. CheeselandSkies
    Watch expansion to the east is gonna be needed soon.
  17. CheeselandSkies
    That would explain its perplexing lack of convection for most of the afternoon...
  18. CheeselandSkies
    Drinking on the job? Maybe the bulk of the last few A/M/Js broke them and they weren't prepared for the return of an actual, sustained severe weather pattern in August. I know I wasn't.
  19. CheeselandSkies
    SPC no help with zero change at 1630.
  20. CheeselandSkies
    15Z HRRR back to showing a near total bust across southern WI before dark.
  21. CheeselandSkies
    14Z HRRR just got a bit more interesting locally around 00Z tonight.
  22. CheeselandSkies
    Kind of unusual for us to start off an expected severe weather day with this much full sunshine in this neck of the woods. Of course, northern IL was socked in until early afternoon yesterday.
  23. CheeselandSkies
    I will definitely be out and about. Probably nap for a couple hours after work then head to Mt. Horeb or thereabouts, looks like a good jumping off point based on the HRRR. Would like to see it be a little more robust with the UH tracks, but as yesterday show that's not the end all/be all of things.
  24. CheeselandSkies
    CAMs are not much help with HRRR and 3KM NAM worlds apart this morning.
  25. CheeselandSkies
    Did I mention August is the new May? Confirmed. I suppose I should include the second half of July as well. 07 HRRR convection forming in SW WI late this afternoon is...rather discrete. ...and Wednesday looks like a day to keep an eye on, too!
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