The GFS has had a storm forming in the Western Caribbean in the time frame of the 18th in every run since Tues. Varies in where it goes but consistently forms the storm.
I have averaged 5.9 inches a month in the 6 Aprils we have been at our current house. So far nothing this month but I don't really view myself as being in the clear until June.
The month is reminding me a bit of 2010 (?) when we had temps high enough on April 4 to break out the kiddie pool and all the snow was gone in Peacham and then we got dumped on at the end of the month. 26th. I am not putting the shovels away quite yet.