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DownpourDave

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by DownpourDave

  1. DownpourDave
    Driving to the airport at 3 am this morning….. at times driving was very hazardous less than 100 feet visibility in front of me at times… so yes it was very thick
  2. DownpourDave
    Seems like such an outlier from just the 12z run. Initialization error? Seems odd
  3. DownpourDave
    Do you consider post-season upgrades? Unlikely event Oscar gets upgraded to cat 3 months later
  4. DownpourDave
    With a 70knot wind…. They missed the center
  5. DownpourDave
    MPI for where Milton is, is around 890-900mb.
  6. DownpourDave
    Source?
  7. DownpourDave
    I’ll await for confirmation from NWS. They will send out a climate report soon.
  8. DownpourDave
    Do you have a link to that?
  9. DownpourDave
    It didn’t unless there is something I am missing.
  10. DownpourDave
    It is only just hitting 100, possible but not likely. Guessing it maxes at 101
  11. DownpourDave
    It probably already is, multiple different data points support cat 5. Awaiting for NHC confirmation
  12. DownpourDave
    High rainfall rate, it could be an error but perhaps not “The SFMR performance is highly reliable at hurricane-force wind speeds, but accuracy is found to degrade at weaker wind speeds, particularly in heavy precipitation. Specifically, a significant overestimation of surface wind speeds is found in these conditions, suggesting inaccurate accounting for the impact of rain on the measured microwave brightness temperature.” https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/atot/31/11/jtech-d-14-00028_1.xml
  13. DownpourDave
    I heard Solomons or near there got a waterspout but yet to see and photos or videos of it. Kind of surprising considering there should be plenty of people down there.
  14. DownpourDave
    Would you be able to share the video? Looks pretty bad from the still shot.
  15. DownpourDave
  16. DownpourDave
    Final Guess if counts: 26:13:6
  17. DownpourDave
    Tornado looks to be south of Columbia proper so assuming you’re in Columbia proper, you should be fine.
  18. DownpourDave
    Stay Safe!
  19. DownpourDave
    Once again, radar confirmed ✅
  20. DownpourDave
    Tornado should be just passing Gaithersburg now. CC drop lining up quite well with couplet and strong gate to gate shear.
  21. DownpourDave
    I saw it was also confirmed by weather spotters.
  22. DownpourDave
    Radar confirmed tornado. CC drop evident.
  23. DownpourDave
    I suspect there will be a few storm surveys tomorrow. We will see.
  24. DownpourDave
    28/15/7
  25. DownpourDave
    22/14/5
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