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DownpourDave

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by DownpourDave

  1. DownpourDave
    High rainfall rate, it could be an error but perhaps not “The SFMR performance is highly reliable at hurricane-force wind speeds, but accuracy is found to degrade at weaker wind speeds, particularly in heavy precipitation. Specifically, a significant overestimation of surface wind speeds is found in these conditions, suggesting inaccurate accounting for the impact of rain on the measured microwave brightness temperature.” https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/atot/31/11/jtech-d-14-00028_1.xml
  2. DownpourDave
    I heard Solomons or near there got a waterspout but yet to see and photos or videos of it. Kind of surprising considering there should be plenty of people down there.
  3. DownpourDave
    Would you be able to share the video? Looks pretty bad from the still shot.
  4. DownpourDave
  5. DownpourDave
    Final Guess if counts: 26:13:6
  6. DownpourDave
    Tornado looks to be south of Columbia proper so assuming you’re in Columbia proper, you should be fine.
  7. DownpourDave
    Stay Safe!
  8. DownpourDave
    Once again, radar confirmed ✅
  9. DownpourDave
    Tornado should be just passing Gaithersburg now. CC drop lining up quite well with couplet and strong gate to gate shear.
  10. DownpourDave
    I saw it was also confirmed by weather spotters.
  11. DownpourDave
    Radar confirmed tornado. CC drop evident.
  12. DownpourDave
    I suspect there will be a few storm surveys tomorrow. We will see.
  13. DownpourDave
    28/15/7
  14. DownpourDave
    22/14/5
  15. DownpourDave
    Goddammit you jinxed it.
  16. DownpourDave
    Stuck at 5.5 here. 30.5 degrees F
  17. DownpourDave
    It isn’t? Or you are saying it is forecasted to be…
  18. DownpourDave
    -SNRA here.
  19. DownpourDave
    When is ever an appropriate time to use the PDC maps? I am pretty sure they only had 6-8 inches for our region for the last storm and we know how that turned out.
  20. DownpourDave
    Gfs is definitely smoking something, Plymouth with 30 inches and the white mountains with over 50 inches.
  21. DownpourDave
    Never say never but you are probably right.
  22. DownpourDave
    I’ll second what someone else said. The NAM blew the mid level warmth surge forecast last storm. Had sleet/freezing rain up into the white mountains. In reality, only got as far north as knocking on the door of Plymouth. Was off by 25-50 miles up to game time.
  23. DownpourDave
    It does seem it will at least be cold enough to give ski areas some real accumulating snow. Looking forward to that.
  24. DownpourDave
    NS will eventually start acting destructively with the set up if it gets too far behind. The one time the AI model is right is to ruin SNE snow chances. All jokes aside, this storm will be a good test case to see how it does vs the other models.
  25. DownpourDave
    disjointed mess, less effective phasing, ss is more able to run ahead of ns
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