Paleocene

NAM is always amped, that's what the A stands for.

Yeoman is one of our greatest trolls and allowed to post whatever whenever for some reason. Generally funny

Lol no worries. Just joking. Someone on a junk account posted that quote during a snowstorm last year or the year before and it's stuck with me

So, summary of 12-18z is "rain in Georgetown?"

If you look at the total QPF map on the ICON (especially if you compare runs) you can see why it's a junk model. Weird patches and holes all over the place compared to the varsity models. IDK why I'm even bothering to dissect it. On to the GOOFY

ICON is way more amped with totals compared to its 12z run, especially across the midwest. As discussed, more amped early out west = more norther with the precip

I'll let someone more qualified than me comment on meaning, but here's ICON 18z (top) versus 12z (bottom). Valid Saturday 12z. Baja wave looks more organized and more positively tilted. Northern stream energy has a different position too

This has been really consistent across modeling. I'm amazed and it's terribly exciting, lol.

We expect nothing less. This is its swan song before the plug gets pulled, no?

We know how this movie ends for our latitude if North trend continues. A lot of qpf, but sleet sacrifice. Hoping it stalls today. Overall I'm comfortable with where we're at. I like how the low is moving out to sea, not climbing the coast and cranking in hot ocean winds

I think in the future, when this thing gets serious (Friday???), we need a serious met/contributor thread, and then an anything goes thread. Otherwise the storm thread is useless. Mods can discriminate who's in the serious thread (for example, I should not be in it). @stormtracker@mappy just tagging you here to see what you think about that. as you know this page is a place where people go for actual info during what will likely become a weather emergency around here. IMO what this board offers is really valuable in the age of facebook/x/tiktok/etc weather junk. I value your contributions @SnowenOutThere. It's frustrating for me when my memes end up at the bottom of pages, so I can't imagine how it feels when actual effort-laden posts fall to that cliff. The storm thread was nuts for HH, i was offline from like 445-6pm and missed 4 pages lol

Anyone else sort of in disbelief that we're really tracking this thing? It's been literally 10 years since we've had anything of this magnitude. I am struggling to comprehend the scale of it, lol. Kudos to @NorthArlington101 and @CAPE and many others who were honking about this post jan-15th window, with multiple possible threats. Awkwardly cropped this photo to avoid self doxxing via several means but here's me and my oldest (then 2, now-12 year old) the day after the 2016 storm. He's climbing a mountain I made from unburying one car which was parked on the street. That pile was taller than me and I'm not short. Needless to say, he's hyped up for this potential storm, because he doesn't remember 2016. hope we all get jackpotted

Indeed. A fear for northern areas for sure. While the northern crew was gallivanting in oodles of snow in Feb 2014, we lowlanders were getting spittle and dryslot. Different storm, but I like when I see that 32 degree line well SE of me

I know it's the ICON, but to illustrate a point, I am amazed with the temps that these models are spitting out. Feels like forever since we've had cold snow in the metropolitan areas. Temps in the mid-teens all the way to Richmond during the storm... though a cutoff on a sharp gradient through a Cape May--->Salisbury access where east flirts with freezing.

The totals for metro Atlanta are absolutely bonkers. They gotta pray this is overdone at this point

For once I agree - we need only one person doing PBP. the CMC and GFS were a disaster to read/follow this AM.

pivotal has them 12z snow, 10:1

Anybody else buying up the local supply of ice melt and snow shovels? Today's the day. People gonna lose their minds starting Thurs if this holds

Yeah, I know there are lots of caveats with ice maps. But holy smokes.

FYI weenie alert for weenies - pivotal weather offers a one week free trial of their geographically zoomed, detailed maps (and access to 06z and 18z euro detail maps). I just signed up. Best week of the year to do that lol, but it does require a credit card. Something I'll be watching over the next 48-72 hours... 850mb and 700mb temperature and wind direction, if and when the low transfers. This image is from the 06z euro, the low is popping off the NC coast. Can the cold press win? If we're gonna get the juice, we may flirt with the heat.

I had that thought too. At that point we're calling Gov. Moore to airlift @Jebmanin to shovel us out. Godspeed Jeb Ok that's my banter for the day. Going to lurk mode... Looking forward to today's runs.

If this thing holds, Montgomery County school children (like my middle schooler) will be annoyed. They have off Monday for an end of quarter teacher grading day. I think the teachers have to report in though, so they will be happy.

the EPS maps that stormyclearweather posted suggest a north tick of precip IMO (from 12z - 18z)

Weren't we complaining about euro overdoing cold at range (D6+) earlier this winter? Apologies if I made that up. Not trying to deb, but I thought I remembered discussion of that.

Sorry. Too hype. I will respect the rules and keep memes to a minimum. Been waiting for the right moment to use that one and may have been too soon.