Jump to content

Paleocene

Members
  • Posts

    1,785
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Still all snow in silver spring at 715, dawn breaking. Mod to heavy. Eyeballing 4-5", haven't ventured out. Gorgeous!
  2. Me, watching correlation coefficient radar sleet line
  3. Decent snow in silver spring right now. My one year old woke up at 5am lol
  4. Bed time. See yins in the morning in the snow
  5. Many on here know better than NWS. Trust them, they've seen it before
  6. My local weather bug says 19°. Not bad for here in the urban heat island. We will probably pop above 20 for a little bit if the Sun comes out, but cloud cover is building.
  7. Luckily, we are very much running out of time for additional nudges in the wrong direction. I feel like this has been locked in, at least for the metro areas, for a long time. My guess for the dc beltway area is 6" then sleet flip. More snow than that, I will be pleased as punch.
  8. This is correct with the rates before the flip, then the glaciation from the sleet mauling. Godspeed to everyone who has to travel Sunday. The plows will NOT keep up. My SIL is a hospital obgyn who works in DC, she's on shift starting Sunday night. She's gotta get there for the babies .... Good luck to all the parents who need to get to a hospital. Everyone else, stay home!
  9. These are the warmest surface temps I've seen. WAY warmer than the NAM 3km and globals at the same time. I say toss.
  10. Latest HRRR has south of i-66/50 holding as snow thru 15z, then flipping around the metros at 16z. 0.6" QPF pre-flip
  11. 32/7. dropping quick in the heat island. goodbye, above freezing temps!
  12. I was at giant today and the dude in front of me was telling the cashier we were going to get 2". Me, pulling up AMWX on my phone:
  13. This is the banter thread so this is appropriate. I was just younger than you then. I was in central PA and our front yard had a small hill/slope. I remember swinging myself between footprints while lying flat on my stomach on the slope, imagining I was mario or donkey kong or some other 1990s game lol
  14. I am with you on this lol. 1994 I think. I was only 5 but I remember the glaciers. It was nuts. What I don't want is for people (myself included) to lose power. Otherwise, bring on the ice
  15. let's all cliff jump over the NAM and ICON. the thread is unreadable. It's gonna snow, then ice. end of story and that's been the deal since weds.
  16. On the long range 18z HRRR, snow enters the region from the SW between 10pm-midnight saturday night. Not sure how long it will take to saturate the air.
  17. Indeed. The dark side of "the big ones are always sniffed out early"
  18. Can't believe we have to do another day of model watching all day tomorrow. Then radar hallucinations and short range cliff jumping on Saturday. Some may not survive
  19. It is also a QPF nuke (in my experience, it generally overdoes precip).
  20. NAM (sigh, why are we doing this to ourselves) trend with QPF is slower/lower today. And maybe a hair dryer, but that may just be because of the slower? This is only through 18z sunday, as far as can be compared over past 12 hours
  21. I have no super intelligent commentary to offer on the differences between the EPS and GEFS, but i thought I would make this gif which shows the differences in SLP. Valid Sunday evening/Monday 00z. Easy way to visualize why the GFS 12z was more "friendly" to those of us along/east of 95. We want that low and transfer to the coast to be more south. I assume at this range its probably time to stop looking at ensembles too
×
×
  • Create New...