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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    Yep this was a highlight on Sunday AM as we moved from sun to cloud cover. Ominous!
  2. Paleocene
    GOOFUS. Broadly consistent with the morning regional models. RGEM was less kind but that's because Canada doesn't understand the south anyone in this forum from norfolk/hampton roads? They'll get a decent storm out of this!
  3. Paleocene
    Looks like decent alignment between NAM and HRRR. Most falls in the late night/early AM hours. Stay up late to watch the flurries
  4. Paleocene
    New 12z NAM QPF. Brings in the 0.15" contour to the Southern MD counties @dailylurker and 3k qpf (still snowing on lower eastern shore here)
  5. Paleocene
    A cool thing I've noticed here in the suburbs the last two days. It's cold and the snow is sticking around, which is super rare. When one walks around in the woods, the snow now has odds and ends that fall from trees on top of the snow. Twigs, leaves, etc. Reminds me of my childhood in colder climate PA. Deep winter
  6. Paleocene
    3K NAM. Congrats Memphis/Nashville.
  7. Paleocene
    NAM
  8. Paleocene
    Damn, every time I look at a model for this thing, I wish that NS vort got phased in and nuked us. So close
  9. Paleocene
    I was a kid in Central PA for 1996 and I remember absolutely insane snow piles on the streets. They seemed like mountains, as I was 8 at the time. 2003 was similar, as was 2010.
  10. Paleocene
    OP GFS has a juicy southern wave rolling out of texas and thru the gulf states around D10, so, aligning with the EPS's idea of something headed our way around the 19-20th. In OP la-la land its too warm.
  11. Paleocene
    yeah they didn't have their coffee yet. I think that is where sleet/ZR is modeled. Often ends up looking weird between precip types on the margins. If you look at the ZR map, could be a bad ice storm down in the GA--> carolina piedmont zone.
  12. Paleocene
    GFS looks similar to NAM - good deal for central/southern VA. And lower eastern shore. above Fredericksburg...sorry not that much. But i'll take my 2"
  13. Paleocene
    Maybe for you, northerner! I'll take my stats padding despite the loss of the blizzard.
  14. Paleocene
    GFS running. Last hope?
  15. Paleocene
    Not NAM'd Unless you're @Bob Chill
  16. Paleocene
    Am I imagining a weenie rule that the gfs handles northern stream better?
  17. Paleocene
    Temps look good at surface, 850, and 700. Cold on cold, snow on snow.
  18. Paleocene
    Sure, but what's their trajectory? ene?
  19. Paleocene
  20. Paleocene
    Depends on your threshold for NAM'd. "Shows any amount of snow more than the pro models" = NAMD
  21. Paleocene
    NS wave slower/norther and SS waver faster/stronger versus 12z. Love me some NAM play by play.
  22. Paleocene
    We needed it to phase with the southern stream wave for the whole thing to go nuclear and drop 3 feet on us
  23. Paleocene
    There are a few complexes back in my neighborhood and IDK why the County hasn't prioritized clearing roads leading to them out. In Silver Spring, its seemed like they're getting all the roads that the ride-on buses go on clear first.
  24. Paleocene
    OK, more than I thought on the 102 hour panel. GEFS mean.
  25. Paleocene
    GEFS low positions for 12z Sat. And mean snow, probably a bit more coming but dont feel like waiting for the panel to load:
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