Paleocene
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Everything posted by Paleocene
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Per CAPE's post, it's gonna be cold with whatever falls. 850s and surface look great on that GFS run. Cold smoke. But I'd like to pull that boundary inland a bit!
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The LP never consolidates on this run, it has a dual low structure the whole way from GA out past the benchmark area. Not a met, no idea what to make of that, but looks weird
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Delmarva / SNJ jack
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Cold rain today in February in primo climo is much more tolerable when we've had several nice snow events. And maybe some more to come. It's even pleasant to watch the mod-heavy liquid precip
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Trop tiddies has the euro ai under the global models, with limited outputs. But only at 00z and 12z. The 6 and 18 runs are on paid sites
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Another deal like last week where only a few out of fifty members show no snow at this range. Last week, it snowed. It's gonna snow. Still too early to set the bar/expectations re: totals. Will start doing that tomorrow
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Pics?
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GFS is a booty cheeks model
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Maybe the Euro AI is only based off of data from 2017-2024 when it basically never snowed, so it can't handle a TUCKED FOLKS.
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Big dawg incoming?
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definitely the usual suspects sweating over not getting a jackpot.
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i am annoyed at myself for dissecting this day 10 AI run, but i'll pass on the torching 850s and screaming easterlies as that bad boy tucks way too far inland.
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Indeed. Setting us up for an epic meltdown afternoon if 12z doesn't hold serve lol
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Long range thread hysterically awful
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Yeah I see nothing wrong with those maps. It's rare we win on coastals. Usually it's like the beaches and the Eastern shore that win in the lowland coastal situations. I bet this one comes NW
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Sun peeking out here in Silver Spring, drip drip drip
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Looks dank
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5" or 6" depending on where I measure in the yard near downtown silver spring this am. Drippy out there, but still beautiful. The driveway had a huge compaction factor from being warm yesterday (especially compared to the 1/6/25 storm). Only half that on the driveway, slushy stuff that was easy to slide right off.
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Lol at people jumping ship over a coastal 8 days out
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Just jebwalked with my kid to a local park, dumping here in SE moco.
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Streets finally caving here in Silver Spring. Heavies incoming
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While we are all distracted by the snow, HH GFS just came in with a bit of front end snow + frozen on Saturday AM, before a flip to rain in the afternoon. More snow up toward central PA.
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Also sweating it here, but I was thinking there will be a step-down from US50, to MD200, to I-70. Driveways and sidewalks caving in my slice of the UHI, but our hot black streets are holding out.
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Regional impact/snow rates already visible on the traffic maps. South of US50 - more snow.
