Paleocene

normally i'd agree with you but this winter is built different. the atmosphere remembered how to be cold. as PSU always says, just gotta time the cold with a wave right... (not shown: matching CPC chart which shows below normal precip )

EPS MLSP, 12z left, 18z right. deeper and Tuck "tucky" McTuckerson. sorry for potato quality but im lazy

Ok I'm going full but what in the fresh hell is going on with the LP that comes north out of Cuba and shows up on EPS/GFES. It's part of the double-barrel low situation that shows up on both.

It's times like these I wish I didn't have children under the age of 12 and I could just YOLO out there for a snow day and crush dank cruisers.

I'm only like 25 miles from the 1" line on that Euro run. I'm ready to get hurt again.

Didn't see an 18z euro snow map posted yet, only saw the AIFS. here's reg euro. it's a tick NW of the AIFS, and smokes the boston metro area.

Street finally got plowed today here in Moco. The County contractor who did it was driving an older RWD salt truck with completely bald tires. He was slipping all over the place. It literally took him two hours to do a single, flat block that is no more than 600 feet long. I felt bad for the guy, he did not have the proper equipment to fight this battle. But he got the job done eventually, even though he had to dig himself out a couple times. On a neighboring street, the County literally sent a front-end loader to clear a solid concrete icy mess. Props to them for showing up. Never seen snow removal like this in this area in my 16 years here.

max hopium copium the nam is more neutral than 12z run lol

It's a mauling for Cape Cod - weenies in the Boston metro area are gonna be sweating this

The euro also has that deal with the two SLPs, clearly that means you add them together and divide by two and move them 75 miles NNW to make a blizzard here

you have chips left? I put them all down on the euro 60 hours ago, damn casinos cleaned me out

Welp back to this thread. Longwave pattern and cold suggests we are still in the game for first two weeks of feb. And we're gonna have solid snow (ice) cover for another 7 days so I can live with it

Congrats NC/Hampy Roads

GOOFUS time

Yes, that is my main concern, that lobe is plummeting south from a position too far east. it will swing down and maybe go neutral/neg, but too late for most of us. except the shoreline and the fishies

I generally have no idea what I'm talking about but I have noticed that on recent runs and I want it to go away

Here is my pro forecaster analysis of what I want the NAM to look like instead of what it looked like. Move that trough west 100 miles, and tilt it neg.

Local streets still not plowed here in moco

Yes, lets hope those puppies are gone at 00z or 06z. We're reeling this sucker in. No fish storm

18z EPS left, 12z right. MSLP members. Tuck baby tuck! Still a cluster of far southeast outliers

euro 18z left, 12z right. 500/vort valid sat 18z. looks much better on the left, which is why we saw the surface improvemnt

someone extrapolate the NAM

GOOFUS is running. Here's the operational MSLP of the last 6 runs... hopping all over the place with really wide spread. I'm not out until probably 00z tonight if everything is consistently offshore through 12z/18z.

ICON is OTS

Made this gif of the EPS mslp 06, 12, 18z. valid sunday 06z. good bounce back at 18z today. you can see the spread was a bit greater at 06z with some way inland outliers that have been cleaned up.