Paleocene
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Everything posted by Paleocene
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GFS is a booty cheeks model
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Maybe the Euro AI is only based off of data from 2017-2024 when it basically never snowed, so it can't handle a TUCKED FOLKS.
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Big dawg incoming?
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definitely the usual suspects sweating over not getting a jackpot.
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i am annoyed at myself for dissecting this day 10 AI run, but i'll pass on the torching 850s and screaming easterlies as that bad boy tucks way too far inland.
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Indeed. Setting us up for an epic meltdown afternoon if 12z doesn't hold serve lol
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Long range thread hysterically awful
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Yeah I see nothing wrong with those maps. It's rare we win on coastals. Usually it's like the beaches and the Eastern shore that win in the lowland coastal situations. I bet this one comes NW
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Sun peeking out here in Silver Spring, drip drip drip
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Looks dank
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5" or 6" depending on where I measure in the yard near downtown silver spring this am. Drippy out there, but still beautiful. The driveway had a huge compaction factor from being warm yesterday (especially compared to the 1/6/25 storm). Only half that on the driveway, slushy stuff that was easy to slide right off.
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Lol at people jumping ship over a coastal 8 days out
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Just jebwalked with my kid to a local park, dumping here in SE moco.
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Streets finally caving here in Silver Spring. Heavies incoming
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While we are all distracted by the snow, HH GFS just came in with a bit of front end snow + frozen on Saturday AM, before a flip to rain in the afternoon. More snow up toward central PA.
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Also sweating it here, but I was thinking there will be a step-down from US50, to MD200, to I-70. Driveways and sidewalks caving in my slice of the UHI, but our hot black streets are holding out.
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Regional impact/snow rates already visible on the traffic maps. South of US50 - more snow.
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Yeah, should have said more. Aiming for 4" for minimum satisfaction level (no "bust"). Very happy with 5-6", impressed with more than that. It's ripping right now so feeling confident.
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Mod-heavy under brighter returns here inside the DC beltway. Roads still just wet, but everything else rapidly whitening. Getting pretty fast while it's still bright outside. Aiming for 4"
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Oh fun another week long tracking thread. I'm an addict
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I called the E-W silver spring to crofton jackpot a couple days ago.
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Yeah just checked for MBY. Looks decent upstairs in that early window.
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IMO it is reasonably accurate in the like 2-8 hour range at showing future radar when a storm is already here/happening. NAM is a JV model that tells me what I like JK rain to start tomorrow
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36/20 here near downtown silver spring MD. HRRR is a JV model at 18 hours. Ready for my NAMing
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Nice full moon to the east visible. Weenie handbook article IV, paragraph VII, line ten states: "snowstorms during a full moon overproduce"
