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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    you have chips left? I put them all down on the euro 60 hours ago, damn casinos cleaned me out
  2. Paleocene
    Welp back to this thread. Longwave pattern and cold suggests we are still in the game for first two weeks of feb. And we're gonna have solid snow (ice) cover for another 7 days so I can live with it
  3. Paleocene
    Congrats NC/Hampy Roads
  4. Paleocene
    GOOFUS time
  5. Paleocene
    Yes, that is my main concern, that lobe is plummeting south from a position too far east. it will swing down and maybe go neutral/neg, but too late for most of us. except the shoreline and the fishies
  6. Paleocene
    I generally have no idea what I'm talking about but I have noticed that on recent runs and I want it to go away
  7. Paleocene
    Here is my pro forecaster analysis of what I want the NAM to look like instead of what it looked like. Move that trough west 100 miles, and tilt it neg.
  8. Paleocene
    Local streets still not plowed here in moco
  9. Paleocene
    Yes, lets hope those puppies are gone at 00z or 06z. We're reeling this sucker in. No fish storm
  10. Paleocene
    18z EPS left, 12z right. MSLP members. Tuck baby tuck! Still a cluster of far southeast outliers
  11. Paleocene
    euro 18z left, 12z right. 500/vort valid sat 18z. looks much better on the left, which is why we saw the surface improvemnt
  12. Paleocene
    someone extrapolate the NAM
  13. Paleocene
    GOOFUS is running. Here's the operational MSLP of the last 6 runs... hopping all over the place with really wide spread. I'm not out until probably 00z tonight if everything is consistently offshore through 12z/18z.
  14. Paleocene
    ICON is OTS
  15. Paleocene
    Made this gif of the EPS mslp 06, 12, 18z. valid sunday 06z. good bounce back at 18z today. you can see the spread was a bit greater at 06z with some way inland outliers that have been cleaned up.
  16. Paleocene
    Man, this thing bombs out on the 18z euro (just like the 12z CMC today). 969mb 100 miles east off norfolk
  17. Paleocene
  18. Paleocene
    18z euro running, our friends across the pond will save us
  19. Paleocene
    Lol claiming that this thing is cooked is ridiculous. It could very well go the way we want it, miss just offshore, or miss further offshore. The trend this season has been for N and W shifts. We saw last week that NS interactions are very hard to pin down more than 72 hours in advance. We gotta be patient before we toss this or claim victory
  20. Paleocene
    Myrtle Beach jackpots are super common so I'm sure the GFS is correct
  21. Paleocene
    euro didn't show a 30" blizzard at 12z, this is the worst modeling disaster in the history of the world
  22. Paleocene
    12z CMC: Man that low gets deeper... 976mb 100 miles off OCMD (06z sunday) Then 963mb (jesus h) when it's moved towards benchmark then 955mb (!!!!) when it's just south of Nantucket. Goodbye southern new england lol textbook KU uppercut punch?
  23. Paleocene
    Is this good? I think this is good.
  24. Paleocene
    GFS is fine, just late. Honestly the 500mb charts re: ridge and position of the vorts don't look that different to me but I'm a newb.
  25. Paleocene
    On to the next JV model, the GFS
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