Paleocene
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Everything posted by Paleocene
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Nice, cedar st over here! Looks gorgeous out there
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What's up neighbor, Bullis Park reporting in
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Moderate snow, holding at 25 in silver spring. Looking good out there even if the eagles look like a jv squad on my tv :-D
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I make this joke regularly to my wife but she doesn't laugh. Silver Spring 90210
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First flakes here near downtown silver spring, zip code 20910. Gooooo birds
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I am going to go ahead and this post into believing that it will snow and sleet more here
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25/3 here in the UHI, silver spring
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I live inside the DC beltway (and I have since 2011) so my expectations for what we can get in any storm are realistic. I will be happy if we get even 2" of snow falling in the late afternoon Sunday so I can go outside with my kid before it gets dark and have some fun. Sure it sucks we aren't getting HECS'D, but the trend has been clear on this one since Tuesday. That's OK, it's been a good January so far. Ideal scenario = snow--->sleet---> drizzle. Hoping the euro can lock in that solution.
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NAM has precip in the DC area basically outta here by 06z monday (after only getting here just after 21z sunday)
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MBY in the purple by a thread there. YEET
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NAM is running! Never Accept Model results
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12z/00z/yesterday 12z 500mb trend at 06z monday
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lol yes. even my joking meme mind knows this thing is going west
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Big dawg Euro is running! Is this our last hope? Of course not, this thing is still 72H away... but I am ing hard about this storm, so. LFG
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Meme to QPF ratio is getting out of control
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Side note, if you like tracking JV models, the RGEM is running now and is out to hour 48 on pivotal (free): https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2022011312&fh=loop&dpdt=&mc=&r=conus&p=prateptype&m=rdps (it's called RDPS on there)
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Bit chilly sunday AM on the NAM eh?
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This bad boy (circled in blue)? It seems to have strengthened 00z - 06z - 12z
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The pivotal free site does seem to spit out the 3 hour intervals slightly before TT gets the next six hour interval.
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I'll be happy if it snows with WAA as projected late sunday afternoon --> evening before the changeover once it's dark. Waking up to a slush/melted mess on Monday would be lame, but can't win em all, especially inside the beltway
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Agreed, but panels like this bring a bit of gloom for me - especially if it's dumping rain at this hour. Agree, in the metro areas, we hope for dryslot
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CWG has a post up on the potential storm with Wes as a co-author: https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2022/01/11/dc-snow-chances-cold-pattern/
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expectations any time the models show anything even resembling a major storm =
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974mb low directly over NYC 24 hour QPF panel (it's out of DMV by this time). This thing brings the juice
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Surface freezing line basically parallels 95 at hour 138 (06z mon)
