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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    Yikes that euro run is gross for the beltway crowd. March 2017 all over again...
  2. Paleocene
    I thought that at first glance but the fine print at the bottom says lows historically verify... 75% of the time.. within those big yellow circles. So uh, that's a large error range.
  3. Paleocene
    updated version of that map updated at 12z here: https://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/lowtrack_circles.gif
  4. Paleocene
    35/26 in the 20910. Which is an anagram of 90210. There, it is 72/47. Why do I live here again?
  5. Paleocene
    12k nam holds the surface freezing line SE of 95 through 18z tomorrow. not bad. And, edit, 850's spike above freezing between 19z-23z tomorrow. All the way up to M/D line, but they crash after that.
  6. Paleocene
    38/21 in Silver Spring at my kid's elementary school. High clouds movin in. With less people commuting and less energy being expended at places of work and commerce due to the pandemic, the UHI effect will be lower, right?
  7. Paleocene
    Ah, the low at the classic Philadelphia benchmark. Thanks UKMET
  8. Paleocene
    When can we start the nowcast/obs thread so I can stare out my window and say SLEET once before I get rain at 34 degrees for 6 hours tomorrow?
  9. Paleocene
    I used the accumulated positive snow depth change. Your map includes sleet -- as snow. Good luck to Palmyra! My grandparents live there.
  10. Paleocene
    Welp. Hope I see a bunch of sleet in Silver Spring before it changes to rain tomorrow afternoon. Good luck to the northern tier.
  11. Paleocene
    3k nam has the primary low traveling west of norfolk NE-ward across the bay into the southern eastern shore.
  12. Paleocene
    Damn, central PA is gonna get nuked. I'll try to get my mom, who used a 2011 potato as a smartphone, to send some pics from Harrisburg around 800 ft ASL
  13. Paleocene
    Same here. Don't want to disappoint a 7 y/o. Good luck! I'm prolly 2 miles west of you, a bit higher up.
  14. Paleocene
    I know when I start switching my expectation from rooting to snow to rooting for sleet, things aren't looking good. I was hoping this would be like the feb '14 miller A(?) storm that gave me 5-7" ish inside the beltway (plus rain/sleet mix) while NW areas got 12"+.... but last 24 hours of trends have me thinking that's an unlikely scenario. But such is climo where I am :-D
  15. Paleocene
    12z today for 18z thurs 24 hour precip, versus 00z last night for same time. I see a different spatial distribution especially comparing north of M/D to south. I like being centered just outside DC in that 1.5 inch zone..prob is its looking increasingly liek a chunk of that will be rain/sleet :-(
  16. Paleocene
    Man, I am loving that look on the 18z GFS. Please GFS gods, give us that heavy axis here right along the fall line. I'm in Silver Spring (just east of downtown near route 29) and I'm on top of a hill at 326'. My friends in Hyattsville or Brookland DC could see significantly less than me, a few hundo feet lower.
  17. Paleocene
    I have a four pack of these crispy boys waiting in my pantry. Got them from the source at dogfish HQ in Milton in November. Will def crack one if it snows on weds eve.
  18. Paleocene
    That'll be a hell of a midnite jebwalk.
  19. Paleocene
    This looks really pretty to my meteorologically uneducated eyes. Pretty cool to see that 50/50 and the block. I remember past discussion of neutral or negative tilt being desirable for the area of low pressure in the southern US, this is relatively neutral right?
  20. Paleocene
    This is good news indeed. I'll take my chances inside the beltway with that. 5 days out to get temps right...
  21. Paleocene
    Great CAD signature at 120 hours on the euro.
  22. Paleocene
    Here are the fresh GEFS ensemble lows. that is a hell of a cluster east of assateague
  23. Paleocene
    Don't want to spam the thread with pics but holy smokes the CMC buries i-95 corridor
  24. Paleocene
    cranking!
  25. Paleocene
    GFS 12Z on 12/11, for 12z thurs 17th. Capturing the projected wednesday storm 12/16
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