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JoMo

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Everything posted by JoMo

  1. yeah, I think this is overdone. Not a wind chill.
  2. Yeah, that's the storm that's been showing up, but the GFS might be too cold. The temp difference between the 12z Euro and the 18z GFS is huge. It's like -2 in Omaha, NE on the GFS while it's 34 on the Euro at 06z FRI the 17th.
  3. Eh, There's some sleet contamination in there in some places though. Really throws things off in some places.
  4. Yeah they both have weaker surface lows than the global models.
  5. Looks like Wichita going with a Winter Storm Watch for it's SE counties:
  6. Can you toss those up if you have time? Be interesting to see. Looks like the 18z NAM has found more precip, although it's back across KS.
  7. That's tough, probably a Winter Weather advisory with a strip of Winter Storm Watch where they expect the heaviest snow band? Although that isn't taking into account any possible ice that may make them issue a WSW for the entire area expecting frozen precip down there.
  8. 12z GFS and 12z Euro are quite similar. The Euro snow map posted above didn't capture the MO snow that happens. Up to what, 2-3" in your area on the 12z? Last nights Euro had you at around 1". So there was an eastward shift. The GFS is still a smidge SE of the Euro though with more amounts.
  9. Euro going deeper with the surface low I see.... Everything probably will nudge a bit farther east.....
  10. Canadian lowered amounts and is farther east with the snow in Missouri, but pretty similar to last nights run on the western edge of snow in OK/KS. (with the exception of SW OK)
  11. Not a lot of difference between the 06z and 12z GFS. I do worry it is overdoing precip amounts back in the cold air though.
  12. Well, it might have a point on the less moisture in the 'wrap around' since there looks to be a big squall line scouring out much of the moisture out ahead of the system, and it doesn't have a big negative tilt to it.
  13. Everything ended up a bit farther NW on the Euro due to the trough orientation.
  14. Some nice weather porn for you Arkansas folks in the later stages of the 12z GFS.
  15. Yeah, Thurs morning the system will be over northern Cali.
  16. Looks like the tropical tidbits ICON doesn't show sleet or freezing rain. Everything after hour 93 is frozen in Joplin for example and it has "rain".
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