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JoMo

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Everything posted by JoMo

  1. Not sure when the next one is, but differences between the Euro and GFS. Eventually we should probably get a western ridge and eastern trough again. Probably going to be a nice -EPO. The CFS has nothing but a -EPO look through the month of Feb.
  2. I don't really see a reason to get your hopes up for next weekend though. Maybe a little sleet to start but then probably warming up to rain?
  3. Predictable that the GFS was overdoing moisture back in the cold since the trough didn't have a big negative tilt to it plus there's an extensive squall line out ahead of the system that's going to rob moisture. Looks like some banding is possible and those areas will probably pick up the most. Otherwise it looks like a general 1-3" snowfall.
  4. yeah, I think this is overdone. Not a wind chill.
  5. Yeah, that's the storm that's been showing up, but the GFS might be too cold. The temp difference between the 12z Euro and the 18z GFS is huge. It's like -2 in Omaha, NE on the GFS while it's 34 on the Euro at 06z FRI the 17th.
  6. Eh, There's some sleet contamination in there in some places though. Really throws things off in some places.
  7. Yeah they both have weaker surface lows than the global models.
  8. Looks like Wichita going with a Winter Storm Watch for it's SE counties:
  9. Can you toss those up if you have time? Be interesting to see. Looks like the 18z NAM has found more precip, although it's back across KS.
  10. That's tough, probably a Winter Weather advisory with a strip of Winter Storm Watch where they expect the heaviest snow band? Although that isn't taking into account any possible ice that may make them issue a WSW for the entire area expecting frozen precip down there.
  11. 12z GFS and 12z Euro are quite similar. The Euro snow map posted above didn't capture the MO snow that happens. Up to what, 2-3" in your area on the 12z? Last nights Euro had you at around 1". So there was an eastward shift. The GFS is still a smidge SE of the Euro though with more amounts.
  12. Euro going deeper with the surface low I see.... Everything probably will nudge a bit farther east.....
  13. Canadian lowered amounts and is farther east with the snow in Missouri, but pretty similar to last nights run on the western edge of snow in OK/KS. (with the exception of SW OK)
  14. Not a lot of difference between the 06z and 12z GFS. I do worry it is overdoing precip amounts back in the cold air though.
  15. Well, it might have a point on the less moisture in the 'wrap around' since there looks to be a big squall line scouring out much of the moisture out ahead of the system, and it doesn't have a big negative tilt to it.
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