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JoMo

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Everything posted by JoMo

  1. JoMo
    Yeah they both have weaker surface lows than the global models.
  2. JoMo
    Looks like Wichita going with a Winter Storm Watch for it's SE counties:
  3. JoMo
    Can you toss those up if you have time? Be interesting to see. Looks like the 18z NAM has found more precip, although it's back across KS.
  4. JoMo
    That's tough, probably a Winter Weather advisory with a strip of Winter Storm Watch where they expect the heaviest snow band? Although that isn't taking into account any possible ice that may make them issue a WSW for the entire area expecting frozen precip down there.
  5. JoMo
    12z GFS and 12z Euro are quite similar. The Euro snow map posted above didn't capture the MO snow that happens. Up to what, 2-3" in your area on the 12z? Last nights Euro had you at around 1". So there was an eastward shift. The GFS is still a smidge SE of the Euro though with more amounts.
  6. JoMo
    Euro going deeper with the surface low I see.... Everything probably will nudge a bit farther east.....
  7. JoMo
    I never do.
  8. JoMo
    Canadian lowered amounts and is farther east with the snow in Missouri, but pretty similar to last nights run on the western edge of snow in OK/KS. (with the exception of SW OK)
  9. JoMo
    Not a lot of difference between the 06z and 12z GFS. I do worry it is overdoing precip amounts back in the cold air though.
  10. JoMo
    Well, it might have a point on the less moisture in the 'wrap around' since there looks to be a big squall line scouring out much of the moisture out ahead of the system, and it doesn't have a big negative tilt to it.
  11. JoMo
    Well that was a pretty boring NAM run.
  12. JoMo
    Multiple ice storms...
  13. JoMo
    18z GFS throwing almost everyone a bone.
  14. JoMo
    Probably where things will eventually end up.
  15. JoMo
    Everything ended up a bit farther NW on the Euro due to the trough orientation.
  16. JoMo
    Some nice weather porn for you Arkansas folks in the later stages of the 12z GFS.
  17. JoMo
    12z probably would. 18z would for sure.
  18. JoMo
    Yeah, Thurs morning the system will be over northern Cali.
  19. JoMo
    Springfield says:
  20. JoMo
    Looks like the tropical tidbits ICON doesn't show sleet or freezing rain. Everything after hour 93 is frozen in Joplin for example and it has "rain".
  21. JoMo
    Man, this forecast is teetering on the edge. System needs to close off/neg tilt. But if it does it too soon, then you get the 12z Canadian depiction which takes the frozen precip west and north. If it is too progressive and doesn't start until it gets east of us, then you get the 12z GFS depiction. And then there's the 12z Euro which is close... if it's just a bit farther SE, then we'd all be good.....
  22. JoMo
    Yeah, the Canadian closes off really early though. It's a bias that it closes everything off.
  23. JoMo
    Now that's a sharp front.
  24. JoMo
    Yeah, still not closing it off. We probably need a closed off system passing to our south to sling moisture/cold back.
  25. JoMo
    NW trend should start anytime.
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