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JoMo

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Everything posted by JoMo

  1. Frigid and Snowy this winter says the Farmer's Almanac?
  2. Basically what we got in Nov, which was a couple inches and maybe a couple dustings?
  3. Models have been so awful this year. Time to roll back the last few updates.
  4. Yeah, the NAM is concerning since it has much lower amounts. It's usually pretty juiced.
  5. Springfield bumped amounts up to 3-5" most areas, 1-3" across far S MO.
  6. Temps will probably be a bit colder than the 10:1 standard ratio, especially the farther north you go. It looks interesting for maybe a couple of inches where the snow does fall. Better chances KS/MO of course.
  7. Interesting to see Wichita mention 3-6" of snow possible due to the Arctic air this weekend.
  8. 12z Euro with the stronger band in E KS and W MO this run. North of me. Closes the low off briefly by hour 84 over E AR.
  9. Not overly excited again. There looks to be a narrow deformation type band to the north of wherever the upper low temporarily closes off. The system is still too positive tilted to really sling snow back in the cold air.
  10. You guys keep jinxing it. You got to let it sneak up on you, or you'll scare it away!
  11. yeah, models are trash, but it's generally climatology in El Nino years that favor good periods from late Jan through Mid-March or so in this area.
  12. Late Jan and Feb/March will pick up. This is El-Nino climatology.
  13. An interesting 'backdoor' type snowfall where the cold air comes from the east of the area.
  14. To add to the above post by StormChazer: This storm doesn't have a connection to the northern stream, the flow is of Pacific origin behind it, so areas have to rely on the 'stale' cold air that's already in place which will gradually warm.
  15. Models have been awful this year (and last). I haven't even looked at the weeklies the last few runs because the general pattern change keeps getting pushed back. I'm starting to believe the saying "A watched pot never boils"
  16. Looks like a sloppy mess that will melt off quickly, but it'll probably be pretty coming down for some people.
  17. Merry Christmas everyone. Too bad the Grinch stole our snow. Maybe next year!
  18. Most of this is probably sleet in OK/AR but good old PGFS:
  19. 12z PGFS was pretty icy and snowy for parts of the area.
  20. Euro has a nice -EPO showing up towards Christmas. Actually starts building in about 10 days. But... also a -PNA showing up. It would be awful to dump all the cold air in the west. Hopefully that changes.
  21. yeah that system is going to be a pain. A narrow area of very heavy snow would be possible assuming everything comes together just right. Unfortunate that the cold air will largely be bottled up to the north and it will depend on system dynamics to produce that small area.
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