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JoMo

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Everything posted by JoMo

  1. JoMo
    Been sleeting forever here.
  2. JoMo
    Freezing rain here, 31.8 degrees
  3. JoMo
    00z Euro was a bit more robust than it's last run. So, I wouldn't be surprised if there's a bit of slushy snow that falls in some areas. You'll just have to be awake late/really early to see it.
  4. JoMo
    00z Canadian came in more 'meh' as well.
  5. JoMo
    00z GFS was still kind of 'meh'.
  6. JoMo
    Looks like it. That's with included sleet. I think 6.9" is actually 'snow' here. All dependent on if the upper storm can hold together and not fall apart. Also should note that the amount that will be on the ground will more than likely be much much less due to marginal temps.
  7. JoMo
    00z NAM still doing it's thing.
  8. JoMo
    18z GFS did increase snow amounts.
  9. JoMo
    Yeah, there's even no consistency on the Euro today. Tough to time any systems when they system timing changes from run to run and location changes hundreds of miles every run on every model.
  10. JoMo
    12z Euro might have a quick light mix.
  11. JoMo
    This is back.... It's difficult to see any agreement with any of the models with each other with run to run consistency low.
  12. JoMo
    Bit more interesting for Christmas eve on the morning Euro.
  13. JoMo
    Some additional changes on the Euro tonight. No mix or anything with the first system as it pretty much falls apart. The 'mood snow' is mostly confined to northern KS/MO on Christmas Eve now. Still looks seasonable for Christmas Day. Day 8 system is now a rain event for most of us with snow near KC and farther north. Overall, meh.
  14. JoMo
    It's not going to be like super warm. More like near normal. Definitely not the chilly single digit or teen temps it showed a few runs ago, though.
  15. JoMo
    Yeah the big trough is now becoming progressive and centering itself more to the east so the cold air will be pushing into the Lakes and NE. We actually end up getting a return southerly flow on Christmas before another cold front pushes through.
  16. JoMo
    Well, Doug has busted his last 2 winter forecasts badly. Really badly. I stopped listening to him after I found out he only uses the GFS.
  17. JoMo
    12z Euro had more of a neutral tilt as well. Maybe a light mix on the NW side of precip shield wherever that ends up. Mood snow on Christmas eve still possible for many. Edit: And a massive winter storm on Day 9. Good grief. Day 10 lol, just because it's funny.
  18. JoMo
    Yeah, something definitely changed on the GFS. Snow before Christmas or bitter cold. Pick one? I'd go with snow before Christmas.
  19. JoMo
    Yeah, it's a nice little snow from Canada, eh?
  20. JoMo
    This is new on the 12z GFS. The SW system that gets smashed comes out with more of a neutral tilt.
  21. JoMo
    Well, Christmas still looks cold on the 00z GFS/Canadian. Canadian would have a better chance of a bit of snow for many leading up to Christmas. The weird looking GFS snow/ice storm starting the 27th looks weird and probably won't happen.
  22. JoMo
    12z Euro looks cold Christmas morning, not as cold as the GFS, but teens and 20's for most. Maybe some mood snow for some folks on Christmas eve.
  23. JoMo
    Now that's a chilly Christmas morning on the 12z GFS.
  24. JoMo
    And nice multi-day winter storm that's more than likely not going to happen.
  25. JoMo
    Round and round we go with model roulette.... 00z GFS back with the Christmas cold (and a bit of light snow for some on Christmas Eve) I think the change is mainly due to the EPO ridge orientation. In some of the previous runs, it's very strong and closed and angled more to the right. This run it's angled more up and down, not as strong, and not closed, which leads to a different angle with the downstream trough.
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