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JoMo

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Everything posted by JoMo

  1. JoMo
    00z PGFS:
  2. JoMo
    00z GFS fwiw
  3. JoMo
    Pretty big drop south on the 12z Euro as well. Congrats OK and AR on that one.
  4. JoMo
    12z models were a bit farther south today (Euro running shortly). Interesting.
  5. JoMo
    12z Euro with a similar look to last night. It has the typical look with some winter storms where there's a warm tongue feature that extends up into the area. All depends on how cold it is. So many different solutions because it all depends on timing. GFS was largely fast with the northern stream energy which moved the cold air through before the southern system. PGFS phased energy in and wrapped a low up which led to a big storm. CMC and Euro largely were somewhat similar in how they handled everything.
  6. JoMo
    12z GFS shows a rainstorm. 12z CMC has a nice snow across OK/AR. And the 12z Parallel GFS has this massive snowstorm:
  7. JoMo
    00z Euro looks to be a bit warmer/farther north this run. Still got a storm to watch though.
  8. JoMo
    Nice 00z GFS and 00z GEM
  9. JoMo
    The system next weekend is looking interesting. Wide variety of scenarios still possible.
  10. JoMo
    JAMSTEC looking good for DJF.
  11. JoMo
    Weeklies still looking decent for December. No big area of above normal temps anywhere, not a hostile pattern.
  12. JoMo
    This is pretty nice...
  13. JoMo
    Yeah, some areas may see a bit of light snow or a mix on Sunday but it shouldn't amount to much. Expect a warmup as we head into Thanksgiving. From there, things will get more interesting again as the teleconnections line up with a -AO, a developing -EPO and a +PNA by the end of the month.
  14. JoMo
    Weeklies not looking bad at all after the warmup towards the end of the month.
  15. JoMo
    I'd definitely watch central Arkansas to central Missouri and points east with the (Thurs) upper low as of right now, weird things happen under strong upper lows. If it tilts faster than models project than maybe areas a bit farther west may be under the gun for some more snow.
  16. JoMo
    It came down pretty heavily here for a bit. Probably got around 2" accumulation, but it's been melting, roads look good now.
  17. JoMo
    Looking like a winter wonderland out there. It's a very wet, caked on snow.
  18. JoMo
    Guess I should go to bed so I can wake up and watch it snow later today. Not really looking for much accumulation, just want to see it come down, rare sight before Thanksgiving. 00z Euro says the upper low still may be in play for eastern MO/AR on Thurs.
  19. JoMo
    Looks like the heaviest in SW MO and NW AR will be around 15z tomorrow morning. RGEM has had this for a long time: And the 18z NAM even shows signs of it:
  20. JoMo
    Well east. Far SE MO and extreme far NE AR would maybe get some wraparound snow, but that's it.
  21. JoMo
    The 12z UKMET is also spinning the upper low up quicker like the 12z GEM. 12z Euro starting shortly....... EDIT: 12z Euro has more of a mix over NW AR. 1-2" snow amounts for QPF in that area. Heaviest QPF (snow) along and N of I-44 in MO with 3-4" amounts.
  22. JoMo
    Not really looking for big amounts with the sun angle, and marginal temps. If it comes down hard enough (banding) then it could accumulate a couple of inches. We'll have to wait and see where the bands set up, but it looks like somewhere around N AR to S MO has the best shot. The tail end of this system cuts off and later forms into an upper low and tries to wrap more snow around for E AR and E MO on Thursday or so. The 12z GEM actually wraps the tail end up faster, but this is a bias usually:
  23. JoMo
    It's tough to say down that way due to thermal issues, but it'll probably still snow at some point.
  24. JoMo
    Looks like it might actually snow. At least all the guidance is pointing towards that.
  25. JoMo
    Yeah, hopefully everyone can get some mood snow at least before the Thanksgiving thaw.
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