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JoMo

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Everything posted by JoMo

  1. JoMo
    Yeah, it is pretty nice. We will have to see how long the different pattern lasts. MJO is going to be going back into the 'cold' phases by the end of the month it looks like. So, there might be changes at that time.
  2. JoMo
    Kind of cool getting *bonus* winter weather before winter though. Pattern is going to change and warm up though.
  3. JoMo
    Yeah, they are playing catch up with the WWA's because they thought there would be minimal road impacts, but there's already been like 7 accidents in the last hour in my area.
  4. JoMo
    Brrr, just poured some sleet....
  5. JoMo
    Hope this happens, and we don't have to 'chase' one of these all winter again...
  6. JoMo
    Yeah, the point was to show how far off the model was with just a 1 month lead time. How can you believe it's anywhere close to being correct 2-3 months ahead of time if it can't even get the next month close to being right?
  7. JoMo
    Dry frontal passage. lol
  8. JoMo
    You can see just how off the Euro seasonal was just a month out.
  9. JoMo
    FYI, Pivotalweather now has the 10 day Euro available for free since the licensing changes on Nov 1st.
  10. JoMo
    The system around Thursday-ish might have a bit of a mix with it for someone, somewhere, depending on how quickly cold air oozes south. Also dependent on the cutoff (seen here over the Baja) behaves. It's getting squished by the fast northern flow as currently modeled:
  11. JoMo
    Sheesh 12z GFS. Interesting times.
  12. JoMo
    Woke up to a light dusting on elevated surfaces this morning.
  13. JoMo
    I didn't subscribe to a model package this year, so, here's hoping it's good since I didn't jinx it.
  14. JoMo
    So cold and rainy. I love it. A little frozen stuff Wed night would be cool this early, but I worry that things will flip around for the winter months. Ma nature has a way of balancing things out.
  15. JoMo
    Yeah, it's been showing up off and on. Something to watch but not really get too excited over until about 24 hours before it actually happens..
  16. JoMo
    00z Euro with the fantasy snowstorm on Halloween Eve/day.
  17. JoMo
    Keep seeing people mention 2014 and 2004 a lot. Disappointing years for snowfall here.
  18. JoMo
    I don't really like all the cold in Oct and Nov. Seems like if it's cold, then the atmosphere goes the other way for the winter months and it ends up warm and dry.
  19. JoMo
    Too bad the fantasy maps never happen. 12z GFS might have a little rain/snow mix for KS/MO on Thurs night.
  20. JoMo
    We heading for a cold Halloween?
  21. JoMo
    Well, it's looking like it could be a Modoki Nino, which is decent for our area I believe. The AO was mostly negative during the summer. So it's either going to spring back positive for an extended period or remain negative during the winter (persistence) which would be good. We'll have to see as things move forward though. The last couple years have looked like they would be good and in the end, things changed or didn't turn out as planned.
  22. JoMo
    Yeah, I was pretty jealous of Montana. That's a crazy amount of snow. I think we paid for the above normal snowfall we had in the mid 2010's with the lack of snowfall for the last few years. Looks like we may get a weak El-nino this year. Was hoping for a neutral.
  23. JoMo
    I updated the title a few days ago for this year, hoping the 3rd time is a charm. Looks like winter will get started in the Northern Plains by the end of the week as the first big winter storm hits. Not sure what to expect this winter as there are some conflicting signals.
  24. JoMo
    Beautiful fall day today. Nice and cool.
  25. JoMo
    True. Looking like a La Nada year though, and the last couple of those were really good.
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