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JoMo

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Everything posted by JoMo

  1. JoMo
    Yeah the 12z Euro OP was a little different due to some modeled changes. Mainly a stronger initial system around like the 14th pulling down colder air. The issue is that the flow is just too fast and nothing is amplifying. So instead of getting a low forming, you just get positive trough coming out of the 4 corners region.
  2. JoMo
    The GFS has been running too cold with temps lately. So I wouldn't be shocked to see a northward movement in the snowfall chances with the system around the 15th-17th. CANADA EH?
  3. JoMo
    If only...
  4. JoMo
    Some post frontal snow showers in the mountains of Arkansas? Hmm
  5. JoMo
    Yeah, there's split flow, and models will have trouble resolving it and will probably change a lot. It looks like it will at least be more exciting with colder air around.
  6. JoMo
    Looks positive tilted and too far north for most of us though.
  7. JoMo
    Well, all the models currently have a system around hour 240. What's the 12z Euro have after 240?
  8. JoMo
    It'll probably snow the 16th. That's the day I have important plans.
  9. JoMo
    Gonna be a miss this run, no northern stream energy diving in to phase.
  10. JoMo
    Euro seasonal went cold for Jan, hmm. Probably be 80 everyday, lol
  11. JoMo
    Ah, yes the 3 day snowstorm. That's what happens if the energy doesn't cutoff over the SW or Mexico. Some ensemble support.
  12. JoMo
    I'll take an order of #21 or #22 please. I did that a year or two ago, looked at the Euro ensemble for trends, and it changes too much from run to run to make a difference. Saw like an 80% chance of snow dwindle to nothing in one run, lol
  13. JoMo
    Stout -EPO signal showing back up.
  14. JoMo
    At least there's something to track and cold air back in the forecast.
  15. JoMo
    Lol, yeah I saw that. Gonna probably disappear next run though.
  16. JoMo
    Happy Thanksgiving. Great day for it!
  17. JoMo
    Thanksgiving looks a bit cold and rainy(mix/snow in some places early) Looks like we'll have this initial system on Tues. Then mix/snow to rain on Thanksgiving: Followed by rain on Fri: And maybe some rain/snow showers on Saturday into early Sunday: Looks active at least......
  18. JoMo
    Models are changing a lot from run to run in the extended, but it does appear that a big system will be possible sometime around Thanksgiving. Severe weather probably out ahead of it and maybe a blizzard behind it.
  19. JoMo
    Lol. It's just Nov 18th. I'm more concerned with the long range models showing less of a -EPO and more of a -PNA pattern.
  20. JoMo
    12z GEFS looked great after Day 10 or so. Hopefully the Euro ensemble comes around to the colder look today.
  21. JoMo
    Yeah I saw that next weekendish. Just a very marginal setup where a lot of things can and probably will go wrong or trend in the wrong direction. We'll see though.
  22. JoMo
    I guess the EPS (Euro) has a lack of blocking, which results in warmer temps. This was last night. FWIW, the Canadian is on the GFS side as well. Plus tropical forcing should be more towards the GFS as well. The Euro or GFS is gonna bust.
  23. JoMo
    Better look starting to show up on the GEFS long range.
  24. JoMo
    Yeah, we're going to warm up as the flow changes. Pacific air will be flooding in and things are going to be kind of boring for a week or two at least. Someone posted the Euro weeklies here and it's kind of 50/50 unsure. But this looks somewhat better:
  25. JoMo
    Light snow/flurries here, just sleeted a bit ago as well. Looks mostly over now. Got a dusting.
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