Newman

Clearly need to see some other models coming on board. FV3 is still warm and north, as is the RGEM. That is, if you're looking for the insane amounts

The cutoff kinda reminds me of Jan 2015 on the Nam runs. Sharp gradient from Philly to Trenton to NYC

3k Nam is a Northern Jersey bomb

It would be pretty hilarious though if the Euro storm did happen verbatim and we ended up above average on snowfall for the season

It was clear as day that would be the base state we'd be working with all winter, I wish I had been wrong!

Precip has picked back up and it's mostly all sleet, 42F

Sleet mixing in here too

13z HRRR

Canadian holds suit for end of week

The 0z NAMs got alot worse though, HRRR and some of the other mesos better

18z GFS stops the bleeding for now, has a front end thump for the late week storm

Latest HRRR... Mount Holly has issued a WWA for Lehigh County on north with only 1-3"

Yeah the Euro is solid for areas tomorrow night

The GEFS is going to be slightly improved from the 6z run. There's at least some reflection of a HP up north now. It's not much, but something

Canadian for late week storm

If the 6z NAM is right about temps today, then ChescoWx and Kamu might see mid-60s to near 70 while Redsky and Birds69 don't get out of the upper 40s

And there's even a tornado warning now right near Trenton, NJ. What a wild February day

Tornado warning right near Trenton, NJ!

Was quite a gusty shower that came through Millersville like an hour ago or so. Lots of branches and small debris scattered everywhere

Tomorrow could be interesting with some strong showers/storms moving through in the afternoon. A very low freezing level of 850mb, steep low-level lapse rates, some SBCAPE, and a deep mixed-layer will give a shot for some thunder, small hail, and gusty winds. Then we turn to Thursday where there will be a very legit shot for 70s across SE PA. The NAM, which is usually biased cold, even has it. Wherever the boundary sets up though will be the difference between mid-40s to the north and low-70s to the south

@RedSky I remember you talking about how cloudy it was everyday throughout January. Well, looks like SE PA had a top 10 cloudiest January

59 at midnight, will probably be the high for the day. Currently 51

We just hit 60 over here in Lancaster

Just hit 60 at MU, broke the record high for the date Edit - Now 61

HRRR and RGEM are very bold in bringing mid-60s to parts of the area later today