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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. I find it odd that the Mayor keeps saying “there is no time” I read that yesterday and today. Imagine how many people you could have evacuated in the past 24 hours if you reversed the interstates yesterday while the storm was crossing Cuba instead of saying “there is no time”
  2. You are wishcasting. Unless the storm puts on a turn signal and makes a sharp left turn, The eye is not landing on Long Island. Of course there are widespread effects outside of the eye. But the thinking of a landfall between Smith Point Park and Southampton was off by 100 miles…I am glad to say
  3. This rain should end before 11pm. kind of got into a sticky territory because there’s going to be an hours long gap
  4. theres a phycological barrier there that skews peoples thinking. 30 years ago, those areas were rural. The rural line was 112. That isnt the case anymore. The rural line is really the William Floyd now…and it will stay there thanks to Pataki and his protected lands programs. That said twin forks is its own area. Eastern Suffolk begins east of Nicols Road imo
  5. On the beach in Wading River. Sandy had minimal damage for us. Even with minimal damage: There was no power for at least a week There was several inches of water in the basement with associated water damage There was a sharp 6 foot drop at the bulkhead and the beach was destroyed. Even Irene, Which was a nothing burger for the five boroughs… As the storm came through big branch fell off an old tree in North Flushing, right into a bedroom and killed a guy as he slept. Long story short, you dont wish for a hurricane to hit your forum area
  6. That’s not true. That track is a Bob track with a much weaker storm. you need significant westward movement for all of us to “get it.”
  7. Just feels like a late September early October rainy evening. Very nice for a brief interlude
  8. Why should it be relocated? It accurately reflects JFK weather which is vastly different than the urban city or urban Nassau. Ive seen everything from accumulating snow to dense fog on the lower half of JFK that the upper half may not be experiencing. But guess what is on the lower half? The majority of the landing runways. Pilots care about the weather where the plane is touching down. Airport ASOS’ exist to give pilots and ATC the most accurate weather information for safe operations.
  9. Another beautiful morning without AC 66F This forum seems intent on creating a drenching storm and heat wave…to no avail
  10. that bridge was due to collapse anyway…
  11. Wow strong gusts ahead of this storm with mainly clear skies
  12. There is a baseline normal. We are using the baseline. We didnt reference 1970-2000 baseline normals last year, no need to reference old baselines this year
  13. 80F Today reminds me of what summer days out on Eastern Long Island used to be like: temperate days, cool nights, rarely needed the AC at night. Geez, the climate out here has changed so drastically in such a short time…it is scary. It is all in the dewpoint and most of it is in the last 20 years.
  14. Schlacter: "I think New Yorkers deserve a lot better, and I think they deserve the best weather station money can buy." It is funny: airports, skyscrapers, convention centers, roads, hotels, trains, skyscrapers…just about every category you can think of that involves a physical structure is bigger, better, and nicer elsewhere. Why would he think NYers deserve the best weather station. Just living in NY involves accepting sub par on just about everything…including, apparently, the CPK weather station
  15. This is a good point…and gives good perspective. We are in a warmer, more humid climate. We are really tracking weather here not climate. We talk climate for historical perspective, hence the top 10 charts…but when talking about weather, we need to use a universal baseline, if not we will have chaos on the forum. As another poster said, July has been cooler than normal for most of the region…with normal being the new 30 year averages.
  16. Per the NWS. And what you find is that when you look at an urban place you can’t meet that standard https://www.weather.gov/coop/sitingpolicy2 Temperature sensor siting: The sensor should be mounted 5 feet +/- 1 foot above the ground. The ground over which the shelter [radiation] is located should be typical of the surrounding area. A level, open clearing is desirable so the thermometers are freely ventilated by air flow. Do not install the sensor on a steep slope or in a sheltered hollow unless it is typical of the area or unless data from that type of site are desired. When possible, the shelter should be no closer than four times the height of any obstruction (tree, fence, building, etc.). The sensor should be at least 100 feet from any paved or concrete surface.”
  17. Both are cement jungles isolated from the nearby water…thus skewing temp readings warmer than surrounding areas.
  18. I wish there were as many complaints about the EWR readings as there were about CPK. When you see EWR hotter than anywhere else including PHL, something is off
  19. The real warming seems to have occurred with nighttime lows not dropping to our historical numbers. The experts on this forum correctly surmise that the air is more humid and the lapse rate is slower in air that is more moist. The bulk of your heavy warming has a occurred there. We are firmly in a subtropical climate at this point where our daytime highs and nighttime lows are only going to be separated by 10 or so degrees on our extreme days. Going forward, that factor is already baked in… Which means you’re just going to be dealing with normal warming trends… which if predictions are correct, won’t be nearly as alarming
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