the_other_guy

Poor Belleayre. Boasting about having every trail except two open.

There at 70+ pages before this was widely accepted as going obviously sideways. No need to assert anything. It is all right there. you can’t be mad at people after they are saying it never produced. It didnt. you also can’t be mad at a guy like me that’s calling out another jump… this time on a major “record” warm up two weeks away. we have guys swinging the other way talking about how horrible January’s going to be on Dec 19th. after a while, it’s Christmas week, it’s cold. Possibly record cold right after Christmas. maybe some back end snow. Let’s give it a breather. that isn’t being insufferable, that’s sanity.

Good. Because the weeklies were great in December. Maybe trash works better

is this the same gospel that the snow storm and great pattern was coming in? if it is, I’ll believe the depth and length when I see it Time to start calling out the long term forecasts. They are talking points. Not fact. More often wrong than right. Almost always exaggerated on the cold and warm and wind and precip side. Many 20 inch, 60 degree drop, 70 mph wind gusts that became 10, 30 and 50. and if you live on Long Island near the coast… all in the realm of normal in that they occur with frequency throughout the year.

And the warmest air to our north and east. And that has been a theme for several years now

Just landed at O Hare. 10F with a light dusting on ground. They have winter

maybe it’s time to stop talking about temperatures and models two weeks out like it’s fucking gospel? Just a thought. we haven’t even gotten the 23rd straight yet and now we are already talking about a warm up on New Year’s Day. Learn from mistakes instead of repeating them over and over again

3 Day shot. Our usual

Aimless, clueless, lost. That’s the Jets. Hopefully not GFS

well, ironically, this is true. It’s been a lot colder this December than we’ve had in a while. 1 to 2 inches of snow in the immediate northern suburbs last week. But it’s still nowhere near what normal is in New York City proper for December 10 20 or 30 years ago.

this is probably the most important piece of the 78 pages thus far. guys are rooting for some sort of pattern change and major snowstorm that has yet to materialize. I was one of the first people to point out toward the end of November, that we seem to be in an endless cutter pattern…that I didnt like going into Dec 1. each week we keep slicing off another piece of December. winter isn’t done by any means. But what is becoming alarmingly clear to me is that prolonged cold and snow in December in New York City is almost impossible in this new climate. even the shot of cold air that follows the snowstorm coming next week is a shot. and given that we are in a La Niña, if we don’t get something in December, coupled with the warm November… We are likely looking at a gutter ball of a winter in terms of average snowfall. so hope something happens in the next 10 days… It’s really important for the winter ahead

Much warmer now than the 80s. I don’t even know if a consistent pattern like that is possible now.

fits this seasons pattern so far if it’s true. On this forum, Im particularly cautious when too many jump at a storm signal or pattern change over seven days out. too many variables

Beats the last one they put out

For all the torch/bad winter/warm water/missed chances posts…Belleayre today

Common theme since November. Background state is just a bit cooler now. at this point just settle for the fact that you’re having a rather normal temperature stretch in December and if you get lucky (like inland areas did Sunday) with one of these events, so be it. If the goods are still 7 to 10 days out…this is your December.

22F this morning with that snow on ground really helping pull the temperature down

Welcome to being a Mets fan :). Friday is rain. The show this week was yesterday

1 inch of snow in Hastings om Hudson. Giddy like a kid in Raleigh

Hastings on Hudson. Still snowing. Accumulations all post sunset

Hey I have ground covered. Good enough!

Im going to Plug you all winter. Bravo, sir. Bravo. This is your storm!

Finally accumulating in Hastings. But the flakes are huge. I don’t know if it’s going to turn over to rain. Snow Globe esque

Mod Snow in Hastings. All wet. No accumulation. Been snowing light to moderate for past hour. if we get any accumulation at all, it will be after the sun sets with these temperatures.

actually MJO won this round with todays event. Happy to tell you that too