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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
    no. Wayyyy too close to the coast.
  2. mikem81
    Has been snowing light to moderate here since 11AM. Not much accumulation on roads at all, but looks great outside and nice fresh powder on the old snow from Tuesday.
  3. mikem81
    Still going to need a 40-50 mile northward shift in the banding which is doable but not being depicted by any model
  4. mikem81
    The NAM is the weirdest model out there. I dont know how a LP can get 10mb stronger and be 30-40 miles north of its 12Z location and show less precip at the surface
  5. mikem81
    sign me up for this...
  6. mikem81
    LP is actually in a good spot for NYC/LI on the NAM and RGEM, just need something to capture it or slow it down from speeding East
  7. mikem81
    RGEM will be SE of 6Z
  8. mikem81
    Also shows just how much of a difference there is climate wise between Boston and NYC
  9. mikem81
    Really shows just how difficult it is to get Snow in NYC with a -PNA. Just doesnt happen anymore. SE flow at upper level and LP way too close to us
  10. mikem81
    Im worried that here in SW nassau that band just south of JFK might strengthen and come hit us. We are all over 5 inches here since midnight. Some areas closer to 8-9 near JFK
  11. mikem81
    https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=OKX-N0B-0-24-100-usa-rad
  12. mikem81
    If only it was January.....
  13. mikem81
    This is insane and the radar from JFK to Mid nassau is exploding now...
  14. mikem81
    I dont think that is an accurate statement. Maybe Logan which is in the airport. But 4-5 inch reports last night at 10am within ten miles west of Logan which is like NYC to JFK
  15. mikem81
    I think someone in the area just west morristown area is going to report 6-8 inches based on the radar all day
  16. mikem81
    Radar also seems to show a band over jersey that hasnt moved all day. West of Newark area
  17. mikem81
    Sounds like Metro Boston didnt get much of anything which is really insane giving the low pressure location. That dual low in CT really screwed them the most.
  18. mikem81
    Its coming to a rapid end...
  19. mikem81
    I dont think so. I think the precip will quickly shut off in next 2-3 hours but hope you are correct
  20. mikem81
    Next time people look at the NAM, just remember this is how much precip this morning's 12Z run said would fall today... Granted the Snow is not sticking around the metro, but I would say at least .5 QPF so far since 8am
  21. mikem81
    Can someone explain the convection and the chances it represents the real LP locations or just giving difficulty representing accurate surface representations
  22. mikem81
    Either way that’s an absurd ensemble spread this close
  23. mikem81
    This is another solution
  24. mikem81
    Even the GEFS is laughable as there are hundreds of miles between LP options. Clearly factoring double lows
  25. mikem81
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