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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. Usually a HP sliding east of Maine into the Atlantic is the sign of no snow. I see a HP in perfect position on all the models here and hints at earlier coastal development...
  2. A lot depends on how the storm tonight winds up into Canada and where it ends up bringing the confluence down into..
  3. Need the Tuesday storm to form a 50/50 low to create some sort of block and lock in the HP
  4. Pretty consistent ensemble support a week out. Need earlier coastal and weaker primary. EURO known to hold that primary into the lakes the longest at this range.
  5. I think water temp this time of year make SWFE better than if it were December. Ocean is at 40 instead of 55 so the SW wind is less of an issue but it can still get ugly at 850 and sleet...
  6. Starting new thread to track. For now EURO amped/ GFS middle/ CMS south
  7. Can we start a thread for next Friday to bifurcate discussions of wind, march in general versus a potential winter storm?
  8. Id work on generating more ocean effect snow with SE winds somehow....
  9. When its 90 in June in CP and 70's on the Island its amazing. The city is awful on summer days
  10. Wow thats a great look and much sooner than we thought....seems like by next weekend...I am always cautious of rushing pattern changes though so lets see how quickly the PNA return to positive.
  11. For now, seems like we should all go to Miami for 2 weeks
  12. Good look for Feb 28-March 14. Will believe it when I see it
  13. Its not outstanding when 90 percent of snow fell in one day.
  14. Hrrr seems to show potential for another 2-3 inches across long island through 7pm if bands dont die out
  15. NAM seems to not have this second round precip while HRRR does.. seems HRR doing much better job so far..
  16. NAM may be on drugs but it looks like a light event and close to something more if the coastal had slightly more time to move north before being kicked east...
  17. These are snapshots in time. Can you post the 5 day 850 temp anomaly?
  18. Even the GFS (verbatim) shows very little precip after the rain tonight... Nothing to track other than next weeks ocean storm for now which needs some big time improvements...otherwise seasonal and dry.
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