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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. Sorry for an ON TOPIC post, but 18Z EURO looks better (through 7pm Thurs only)
  2. Is this the thread for this storm or historical events?
  3. After decreasing from 1.25-1/35 QPF from last night's runs to around .65-.7; on the 18Z, you gotta think the NAM trends back North just a bit at 0Z??
  4. Less and Less Precip every run so far today...
  5. UKMET also just cut precip in half...
  6. The fact that these 2 maps are showing this discrepancy (look at DC area) this close is pretty concerning...
  7. RGEM has both....most precip from NAM and RGEM are between 12Z and an 20Z tomorrow.
  8. NAM is the most north of the models.. GFS actually misses up to the south until the coastal takes over Thursday night.
  9. GFS basically a miss with part 1....
  10. In my mind the sleet comes in as precip goes from heavy to lighter. If we sleet it means we got a good front end thump right before.
  11. I think its more dependent on where the first shot of precip sets up
  12. I would say Hi Res NAM is last at this point in time....
  13. In December Ocean Temps were 15 degrees warmer......Big difference this time of year
  14. It looks really good. still snowing at end of run and much colder..
  15. My point is with sleet close by we need to use both maps!! We are on the same team... Routing for snow..
  16. Please don't use 10:1 maps (although Kuchera on the NAM run is similiar
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