Jump to content

mikem81

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,151

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
    The GEFS went west but still better than OP
  2. mikem81
    Also I would think if it slows down anymore the vort coming in from Canada kicks it east..
  3. mikem81
    Thats why I wanted to know. Still need another 50-100 miles SE..
  4. mikem81
    What did this show at 12Z?
  5. mikem81
    Notice how it got rid of the few LP's in the Ohio Valley from 12Z to 18Z
  6. mikem81
    12Z versus 18Z 12Z
  7. mikem81
    Correct; 10:1 maps are garbage.
  8. mikem81
    Yes we did extremely well in NYC area bu that storm came in off the ocean and then turned NW once it was north of LI (sort of cut through CT) very bizarre and rare..
  9. mikem81
    Can someone explain what causes the LP to jump in an almost NW direction from the NC coast? Ive literally never seen that track when the LP starts out so far south. Does the northern stream phase too early and pull the LP inland?
  10. mikem81
    Look at the 18Z icon. Same setup. LP goes almost due North from NC coast into upstate NY
  11. mikem81
    JMA looks good (for what its worth)
  12. mikem81
    Weve got the JMA and NAVY model on our side...
  13. mikem81
    Hopefully this is the most west weve seen the models swing. I mean they went from OTS to inland runner in 1 day so clearly the uncertainty here is huge.
  14. mikem81
    I see maybe 2 rain storms on this map
  15. mikem81
    18Z RGEM looking better than 12Z
  16. mikem81
  17. mikem81
    RGEM improved 12Z
  18. mikem81
    Struggling big time with LP placement....It really in the delmarva area not all the way down where it shows...
  19. mikem81
    The NAM has clear LP placement issues...
  20. mikem81
    RGEM looks well west through 48
  21. mikem81
    GFS and CMS SE of last runs...
  22. mikem81
    Not sure what he is looking it... seems that OTS is more of a concern
  23. mikem81
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/
  24. mikem81
    Not sure hw relevant, but the RAP just moved about 100 miles north at 21Z
  25. mikem81
    The 1 inch of Liquid Precip is literally 40-50 miles south of NYC... Even without model movement, these storms usually end up being naturally 20-25 miles NW Of final models..
×
×
  • Create New...