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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    Thanks! Final totals around 1.5, Don?
  2. LibertyBell
    you actually want warmer than normal SST to get storms bombing out more quickly, when they bomb out they drag down colder air from the continent.
  3. LibertyBell
    fixed in the para GFS check it out
  4. LibertyBell
    I've been thinking this could be the year for awhile, similarities to 2012 with low arctic sea ice, etc.
  5. LibertyBell
    Pumping up the ridge for the second TC, Walt?
  6. LibertyBell
    Euro looks like it's also moving to a two TC scenario so it may be playing catch up here. GFS has had it like this for awhile.
  7. LibertyBell
    You also have to look at the lack of arctic ice in 2012 and the comparison to this year.
  8. LibertyBell
    Yep, that was my thought also and the reason the Euro is playing catch up is that it hand't developed the Bermuda storm as strongly.
  9. LibertyBell
    Walt, could you look into 2005? Some sources have listed it as having 27 TS, others 28? Which is correct? Since there are 21 letters of the English alphabet used and the last storm that year was Zeta (6th letter of the Greek alphabet) wouldn't that mean there were 27 TS that year not 28?
  10. LibertyBell
    less rain both to the east and west Don? How much at JFK?
  11. LibertyBell
    if this is "just missing the phase" what would full phasing look like? this looks pretty exciting as is
  12. LibertyBell
    GFS has this plowing into CC at 950 mb, the Euro should be interesting tonight.
  13. LibertyBell
    they were reading our posts ;-)
  14. LibertyBell
    The comparison to 12-13 with Sandy that year is a good catch too, latest GFS shows a track to Cape Cod at 950mb, but Euro Ensembles favor a more offshore track (maybe a la Matthew?)
  15. LibertyBell
    2007-08 and 2016-17 were very different here, the latter was a really good backloaded winter with heavy snow in March and April. 2007-08 was pretty much a noshow winter here outside of one 6-8 inch event in February (a SWFE that didn't changeover.)
  16. LibertyBell
    that was an extreme latitude based winter with the quick transition in extreme SNE. I remember your predictions for that winter were spot on, going with similar for this winter? 10/07 had the latest 90 I have ever seen on the south shore of Long Island.
  17. LibertyBell
    That's a shockingly LP....would it be extratropical at this point?
  18. LibertyBell
    What are you going to buy? Some Mets gear? How about a Bobby Bonilla jersey, considering they still pay him? ;-)
  19. LibertyBell
    I guess we haven't had our first noreaster yet but this sure feels like it.
  20. LibertyBell
    Yes, lots of events that got stronger as they approached the coast- we saw them in March and April too.
  21. LibertyBell
    Makes me wonder if the Bermuda storm will cause the ridge to pump up stronger and to the west, thus increasing the chances for the second TC to hug the coast rather than safely go out to sea SE of us.
  22. LibertyBell
    Top 7 warmest Septembers were all in the last 7 years!
  23. LibertyBell
    we also need to do something about birds that get killed in collisions with airplanes.
  24. LibertyBell
    How much rainfall expected for this system Don?
  25. LibertyBell
    sounds like you expect that system to be along the SE coast and then go out to sea from there, Walt, a la Matthew?
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