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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    Feb 1983 was my first snowstorm on Long Island and I waited for the next one like that for 13 years. Feb 1983 happened when I was in 4th grade, Jan 1996 happened when I was in grad school......longest 13 years of my life and of course when you're a kid 13 years seems to pass a hell of a lot slower than it does when you're in your 30s and 40s lol.
  2. LibertyBell
    Yes as a matter of fact in our biggest storms (depends on how you define them, but let's go with 12 inches plus) are much more likely not to mix. There are some interesting cases though....March 1993 we changed to rain but JFK had as much or more snow as the other city stations. Feb 1994 (second storm), same thing, JFK mixed but ended up with more total snow. Jan 1996....heard reports that JFK mixed for a brief time but personally I did not see any mixing and still had over 20 and about the same as NYC. So for some cases, you could mix or changeover and still get the most snow in the local area.
  3. LibertyBell
    the top year in that list didn't have much snow despite that and also being a weak el nino. think this season will easily beat the record? as a matter of fact, in that list amongst the top 6 2009-10 stands alone as the only season in which we had 50+ inches of snow. I'm going to make a little accessory list. historic snowfall seasons from the above group 2009-10 mod el nino #2 AO- 2010-11 strong la nina #6 AO- 1995-96 weak la nina #9 AO- 2002-03 mod el nino #10 AO- Looks like an even split in ENSO.....which lends to my point that there is only a weak correlation (AT BEST) between ENSO state and whether or not we have a historic snowfall season (my definition: 50" of snow). Chris, do you have a similar list for our top negative NAO seasons? Thanks!
  4. LibertyBell
    the winds in that one were some of the strongest I've ever witnessed in a snowstorm
  5. LibertyBell
    Pammy eh? You must mean Pamela Anderson
  6. LibertyBell
    remember the beginning of the second part of that storm? thundersleet and there was even a tornado reported over the ocean just south of the south shore of Nassau County! imagine what it would have looked like if that second part occurred during the day!
  7. LibertyBell
    I know what you mean- I have a second home in the Poconos. Being far away from everything does make things boring so I'm going to keep both places for now.
  8. LibertyBell
    I blame the dolts in the media who seem to have "north and west" plastered to their foreheads and then get surprised when eastern or northern Long Island jackpots. I wonder if anyone has ever done a statistical analysis to figure out what percentage jackpots in our region on an average yearly basis. I'd guess Long Island jackpots on average about one third of the time. Now if you want to talk about a region that rarely jackpots on Long Island it'd be the south shore. Probably even less than the Jersey Coast does. I'd guess the south shore of Long Island jackpots 10% of the time in big storms and those are in mostly storms that occur in moderate or strong el ninos (examples: Feb 1983, PD2, Jan 2016). and yup none of the ones you listed mixed here.
  9. LibertyBell
    how come you cant visit Lynbrook for the storm?
  10. LibertyBell
    Feb 2003? how did you do in that one?
  11. LibertyBell
    why not 10+ if its going to be all snow? If this is like Dec 2009, NYC got 10 inches and JFK got 15 inches if I remember correctly- do you see something like that?
  12. LibertyBell
    lol wasnt that long ago
  13. LibertyBell
    looks like the south shore of nassau should do well too.... what do you think of the Dec 2009 analog that neg nao brought up
  14. LibertyBell
    he's in a great place for the April 2024 total solar eclipse and he's offered to house and feed all of us who are going eclipse hunting
  15. LibertyBell
    2 things that concern me.....1 is the performance of the batteries in very cold weather (I see Norway has a lot of them though so maybe this isn't so serious of a problem)? and 2 is establishing the kind of charging infrastructure we need to allow people to drive long distances with them. I see hybrids as a good middle ground for now and work towards full electric within 20 years.
  16. LibertyBell
    they behave more like a family, an entirely different dynamic they have there.
  17. LibertyBell
    according to some models, it's already in the Atlantic....
  18. LibertyBell
    wow at this rate, all that talk of coastal mix will be gone and suppression will be the thing to worry about
  19. LibertyBell
    GM just announced going all electric within the next 15 years, so this is good news. It remains to be seen how all these new resolutions will take to actually help us undo the last 100 years.
  20. LibertyBell
    yeah he's definitely not a "regular working guy" and can afford to lose a few (billion). as for this snowstorm is concerned, we definitely dont seem to have a margin of error anywhere near as large.
  21. LibertyBell
    Don was that Jan 1966 also of long duration and the heaviest storm of the year? If memory serves, that season was best further south; Norfolk had over 40" It was an el nino year. and our best winter of that decade was actually the following season, 66-67, after a historically dry and hot summer. Big streak of historically dry years that was broken by that 66-67 winter
  22. LibertyBell
    got to wonder when the last time was we had a 36 hour storm of any type.
  23. LibertyBell
    okay this is a good middle ground, wish success on the Mets as long as Cohen loses mightily in the stock market.
  24. LibertyBell
    thats called threading the needle with a needle thats thinner than the thread
  25. LibertyBell
    yea no kidding, no idea who that even is.
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