LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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that was because of track, the storm cut across central Long Island, we were lucky to get a foot of heavy wet snow here in SW Nassau.
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Norluns interestingly enough favor areas both north and south of the area....so either coastal NJ or SNE
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interesting how norluns love the NJ Coast and NE but not us lol
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Does this remind you of March 2001 in some ways? I was curious how the models would handle that storm if it were to happen now.
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Yes, we've played this game before lol Would be way different a month or more ago
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cant happen, you can only have one or the other not both
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there's not enough cold air because it is mid March....but enough for 4 - 6 inches here and back end snow which is a lot better than front end snow.
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it can be snowing there while still raining here lol. back end snow is still better than no snow at all or snow changing to rain
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This is exactly what I was thinking! It actually reminds me of March 2001 in some ways. 4-5 inches of back end snow is what would be the high end of the potential for us.
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Big difference between late February and mid March. But yes Boston can get 1-3 while NYC gets 4-6
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Right, I expect no more than 4 - 6 for the city and coast, but even that would be historic for this season.
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Have to factor in urban heat island and mid March, I would be shocked at anything more than a few inches, which will be like an HECS this season.
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Not in mid March
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Thanks, I was getting crap yesterday for saying that 0.3" was probably the most the city got, people need to understand late season marginal event dynamics, especially in an urban environment.
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Nice work....I wanted to make sure I got these numbers right 1.0" Brooklyn (is that near Coney Island)? 0.2" Queens (is that near Jamaica?) T LGA 0.3" JFK 0.8" Bronx 0.9" Staten Island 0.2" EWR 0.1" NYC So basically out of the four "official" New York City area observing sites, JFK had the most with 0.3"?
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what's causing it to loop around?
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We do here too, it has even happened in la nina winters like April 2018. I think it snowed here in April 1956 too. Honestly la nina el nino has very little to do with how much snow we get. It's only about 20% of our weather. The PDO is more important as it is what puts the trough out west when negative.
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1966-1967 was an amazing winter, from Christmas Eve snow to a historic February and March. That was our last truly cold March.
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It's more about time of year....I don't get my hopes up for March events anymore. In January or February this would have been MUCH better. You don't have a winter when January and February are so warm, those are our snow months. Other la ninas have had much better March snowfalls, like 1955-56 and 2017-18 of course. ENSO is only 20% of our weather, people blame it for way too much.
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I'll believe it when I see it lol. Central Park usually gets lower numbers in late season events and matches the coast quite nicely. So I'd guess half and inch or less for Central Park and you have to be in the Bronx to get 1"+
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a horseshoe cloud? I wonder where that came from? I don't remember the early season heat in 1987....did JFK also make it into the 70s Tony?
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Yep this is very normal for us.
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Probably yet another under 1 inch event. 0.5", which is normal for very marginal late season set ups with no cold air around. 2/28 we got close to 2" on the south shore though, this is probably more like the 2/1 event.
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Looks like JFK 0.3" was right on target.... did LGA really only get a T?
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My Beaufort Scale for Snowfall Coatings worked, my 0.3" estimate for JFK was right on target! LGA only got a T?
