LibertyBell

I just made a direct statement which honestly, are really all people are interested in and why they come to this forum for. So we should discuss the very real possibility of the above coming true.

well let's put some solid numbers to your post. the chances are increasing we could be totally shut out for snow in February and yes I consider a T a shut out and thats what we have here unless we get some kind of renegade late March storm a la March 1998 we could be shut out of snow in March too There is a possibility that we have already received our last measurable snowfall for the season and that should be discussed because the chances of it are growing greater by the day So let's confront this possibility instead of hiding from it (not saying you are, but I see people dancing around it.)

are you serious? I have no clue about these things, because I don't use the postal service....for anything. I think the last time I even went to the post office was over 20 years ago. how exactly did they deliver mail before the 1960s? it's really unimportant minutiae no one needs to know, the USPS is an anachronism.

controlled nuclear fusion-- here we come! https://twitter.com/i/events/1491539482973249539

yeah so we need to spray pesticides to kill all those ugly stinging bugs right lol

it's fine if it's not cloudy. I'd like it to be sunny 6/7 days every week

I would love that. Let me tell you what my trip from the Poconos to Long Island is like. It's 2 hours to get right to Manhattan and then another hour and a half to get from Manhattan to SW Nassau. Go figure.

it seems to originally have been part of Manhattan (I mean the island not the political county/borough), but when that artificial canal was dug it became its own island. I think the best way to put it is it's now its own island and not part of Manhattan island geographically but is still part of Manhattan politically. The Bronx zipcode thing I don't understand-- maybe they wanted to be part of both? I wonder what its zipcode was before the canal was made.

haha yea, best thing about Holland are their tulips and the way they engineer their crops (food output there is tremendous compared to the size of the country) and their wind power. I bet they do a lot of geoengineering too.

There was a fight over who owned Staten Island too lol

So it's an island either way. Look anything not part of a continent (I mean not directly connected to a continent)- is an island. The best way to define it right?

I'd like to see what NYC and Long Island looked like when settlers first got here and met the Native Americans. I bet most of the area was wooded.

lol yea, but it's mostly in jest it's a way to vent frustration at our climate. Sort of like how I change ocean/land distribution in Universe Sandbox lol. One time I dragged the solar system to a different part of the galaxy to see if it would trigger the next ice age. Stuff to do when a storm busts.

looks like part is an artificial island because humanity loves to tamper with nature and make their own artificial islands I guess. China does this kind of crap too

it's artificially separated stupid humanity doing dumb things to interfere with nature. Marble Hill became an island in the Harlem River when it was separated from the island of Manhattan by the construction of the Harlem Ship Canal in 1895.

and how can that even be possible? if humanity has done something artificial to make part of Manhattan not an island that shouldn't count.

it's true....Australia specifically is an island and a continent (island continent)? But I'd argue against considering the Americas or AfroEurasia that way (I group them together but they are only separated by two artificial canals.) Australia and Antarctica are island continents though.

I dont believe in bridges being named by family members after their deceased family members either. I think the name is being changed back.

and we have Robert Moses to blame for a lot of the way the highways are structured too. I wish we could build a statue of him somewhere just so we could later tear it down and shatter it to pieces.

https://ams.confex.com/ams/27WAF23NWP/webprogram/Handout/Paper273676/GFS4cycle_2015_NWP_Chicago_15A.pdf you might have not seen it before GFS 06Z and 18Z cycle are less skillful than the 00Z and 12Z cycles. • The difference in the NH is the largest • 06Z data count is always less (10~30%) than other cycles. • Even though the 18Z-cycle forecast score is worse than that of the 00Z cycle, 18Z conventional data count is not less than 00Z data count! 18Z has the same amount of Aircraft data as the 00Z does, but has worse forecast skill scores. • 12Z has less Aircraft data than 00Z, but has similar forecast skill scores to 00Z. • Difference in Aircraft data cannot explain forecast skill differences between 00Z/12Z and 06Z/18Z cycles. There is no difference in satellite data count among the four cycles. • 18Z and 00Z have the same amount of conventional data, but 18Z has worse forecast skills than 00Z. On the other hand, 12Z has less conventional data than 00Z, but 12Z and 00Z have similar forecast skills. • 06Z and 18Z cycles have 10 to 20 times less land rawinsonde observations than the 00Z and 12Z cycles. Is the lack of RAOBS responsible for the lower forecast scores of the 06Z and 18Z cycles? More investigation is required to understand its impact The forecast skills of GFS 06Z and 18Z cycles are not as good as that of the 00Z and 12Z cycles. (based on the rest of the paper it indicates that these factors take effect later on in the forecast period)

well according to the research there's a difference in longer lead times vs shorter lead times, less conventional data means lower skill scores in the mid range and longer

It would be a lot better if we stopped polluting our atmosphere by flying all those airplanes That sky in your picture looks like a dumpster to me, full of trashy human excrements

Do you know of the Tokamak project in Europe to produce controllable nuclear fusion? They just announced they achieved a world record 59 megajoules in 5 seconds in a controlled nuclear fusion reaction!

No it's been proven by research Yang did that the 6z and 18z are significantly worse in the NH at longer lead times

Wow Don so is the reason for the higher percentage of the total as the snowfall amounts go up because of a smaller sample size at each higher interval?