LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Feb 89 that was some kind of bad-- almost as bad As Dec 89
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it was awful warm and dry is better
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4 foot waves on Lake Tahoe? WOW
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It may wait for March though. Those seem to be snowier than February in a la nina pattern.
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Only question is, can February be as warm or even warmer than January? avg temp 40 and above for both months? It's interesting how two completely different patterns can have very similar results lol.
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This really is much more like a neutral after la nina
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It's really good for the drought out West! Didn't we have a strong jet like this last winter too? Was that in December? The talk this morning is we should expect these kinds of anomalous jets with climate change?
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Thanks Walt, 0 or a T in the Poconos too.
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and then February was much cooler? Have we ever had an entire winter with all 4 winter months at or above 40, Don? (December, January, February, March)? I assume it would be 1997-1998 for Central Park and 1997-1998 and 2001-02 for LaGuardia and none for JFK or EWR?
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I think because you were in Iceland lol.
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With all these warm winters I wonder why it hasn't been more frequent? 40 degrees seems to be a fairly low bar to clear, especially since it's already averaged 50 in December. Also, I was shocked that the highest min in January has been 25. I would have thought we've had some where it was 28, 29, 30, etc as the lowest temp. I guess we're getting used to this weather now.
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I can't believe they waste their time with phone calls, Walt. I'd say, realistically, that weather beyond 5-7 days is completely unpredictable and I don't even know why we run models past that. I would concentrate funds and energy on making short range and medium range forecasting as accurate as possible and not run any model beyond 7 days at all.
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Chris, how many times have both January and February averaged 40 or above? I think 1989-90 was close and 2001-02 actually did it.
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It's interesting how it's the same Pacific air that causes feet of snow out west though lol. You really need to be in the mountains to get decent snow anymore.
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2001-02 had those -NAO episodes too and yet we didn't get much if any snow then either.
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I'm pretty sure we had half an inch in December, LGA is the only one that recorded that, but we had the same on the south shore in Nassau County too. in 1997-98 the airports all recorded a bit more than the Park did before the equinox event
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in a way up to now it actually seems like a neutral after la nina which is the most snowless pattern, if we now go to an actual la nina February pattern, then it could be that these annoying rainstorms go away and we just go mild and dry. still thinking that 1989-90 and 2001-02 and 2011-12 are good analogs.
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Who decided to begin baseball in March? That's idiotic. I would much rather the post season end in November-- November is warmer than March is.
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1989-90 says yes
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I think so too, and it probably means instead of mild and wet like we are seeing now with the jet, it'll be mild and dry a la February 2018. It remains to be seen what March brings (whether there is an SSW or not-- but no one should think there will be a March 2018 repeat) but that may be the only decent chance at snow here. Of course there can be a random small or moderate event even in a mild pattern, but no one should count on that.
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I think that Pac jet retracting is all anyone cares about.
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Now this looks like more of a chance at getting snow than the storm for next weekend, Don?
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who had 40" in 1965-66....was it ACY? or DCA? I remember someone to our south did, I just don't remember the city lol.
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The best winters in that weather almanac book that I read about were in the 1840s and 1860s when there were a couple of winters that had constant snowcover from PHL to NYC from Thanksgiving to St Paddy's Day. Those were the 100" snowfall winters. A couple in the 1700s were like that too, in the 1750s and 1780s as well as one or two in the early 1800s (I think 1804 was one of those.)
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Awesome if you're like me your first weather memories are from 1994 and 1996
