LibertyBell

I see an enhanced risk-- is that more than 5% for EPA and WNJ, Chris?

April 1996 was also a bit of a bust (not for Long Island though) as 6-12 inches was forecast and somehow Manhattan got less than an inch and Queens got 4-5 inches (as did we in Western Nassau County) while east of here got upwards of a foot! I did enjoy watching the Yankees play their home opener in what looked like heavy snow with the snow accumulating on their baseball caps lol

wow this list doesn't have the April Fools' Day snowstorm

is that like a dryline you often see that in Texas or the SW and it creates some of the worst outbreaks there

hmmm it probably wont just stop at the Queens line lol.

There's something that confuses me about this....NWS says slight risk is 2% to 5% TWC talking about Tor:Con or TCI saying their index is better because it measures "true risk"-- they have us under 30% (for E PA to NJ to Staten Island) and 20% (NYC and Western Long Island) and say their index measures likelihood of a tornado within 50 miles. They said that the "slight" risk and 2-5 percent gives people a false sense of security and 20% to 30% represents the way people should see the risk of seeing a tornado nearby.

I'm also wondering if construction of these new skyscrapers is serving to trap in heat. I don't like NYC's new skyline and new skyscrapers for a wide variety of reasons.

someone should do a Day 8 comparison vs reality of how much snow was forecast at Day 8 on these models vs what actually happened. We should do a model by model comparison to see which model was most accurate at Day 8 (translation: showed the least snow, because that's reality.)

That's why I'm specifically looking for temperatures in the mid 30s or lower for JFK because that would rule out the sea breeze effect. I wonder if the recent build up of more skyscrapers over the past decade and a half or so has something to do with more heat retention? There are a lot more tall skyscrapers now.

wow these are all recent! I wonder if UHI has increased in the last 10 years or so? The spring and summer records can be due to JFK being near the ocean, but the ones above seem to be because of UHI.

persistence seems to work a lot better when it's cold west / warm east than it does for warm west / cold east ..... I wonder why that is? Especially true during the winter.

wow they have severe weather right over this area, which rarely ever happens. I think it was November a couple of years ago we had a tornado here. My power was out for 4 hours and it felt really cold lol. I can't remember the exact number but Long Island had around 8 tornadoes that day, the most for one day, and in November lol.

One of our bigger busts although it doesn't get mentioned much. The forecast was for 8 to 16 inches of snow, which would have rivaled April 1982 (though not for cold of course) had it happened.

wow that's amazing Don! 2/11/1966 meets what I was looking for, which is the largest gap in the winter where one is close to freezing. I believe that was just after a blizzard, as there was one around 2/11/1966? I wonder if there was a lot of snowcover on the ground that morning? Also do you have the largest gap where JFK was at or below freezing? Thanks! That low of 74 at NYC on 4/17/2002 is startling....I remember the heatwave that month very well but didn't remember the huge gap in night time lows. Looks like another thing that heatwave had in common with the heatwave in April 1976! I also remember the April 1991 period, as it was the earliest 90 degree day at NYC (until April 2010). Both were amongst our hottest summers. I see the amazing March 1998 heat is up there, surprised the heat in March 1990 isn't.

was that 23.0 inches near Mount Pocono? wild....northern Delaware had more snow than NYC or Long Island did.

I'm aghast at some of those records lol.....it's hard to get Bridgeport to hit 100 in the current era, let alone in 1901 lol. And lows in the mid 80s in 1901 and 1908....how did people deal with this before electricity and air conditioners in crowded urban areas?

The other unusual thing about last night was the significant gap between JFK and EWR. I wonder what made the low at JFK 4 degrees lower than EWR-- did cloud cover creep into EWR earlier? What time were the low temps at JFK vs EWR (and NYC and LGA if you have their data too?) Thanks, Chris!

I'm wondering if we could get one last one Sunday night and Monday morning, that may be the last morning in the 30s and perhaps has a chance of getting to freezing.

Is there a way to find out what the biggest gap in lows between JFK, LGA and NYC has ever been? That 9 degree gap has to be one of the largest I've ever seen. JFK was much closer to FRG. It was actually colder this morning than it was the previous morning. This goes to show how artificial the climate of NYC (and LGA) really is, while JFK and EWR have much more natural temperatures ranges.

but the NYC temp is "artificial" it got to freezing last night at JFK

it got to 32 this morning and 15 in the Hamptons, brrrrrr!

April 8th....it's basically from Buffalo through Rochester Syracuse and Watertown.

Don do you think this morning was also JFK's last freeze until next fall?

Does this present weather data live so we can (for example) track heatwaves and cold waves in live time (or on an hourly basis)? WMO uses a special five digit code for station identification so it would be useful if this did that too.

It sounds like an utter and total nightmare. The good thing about this eclipse being on a Monday is that people should have enough time to get there by the weekend. I'm planning on being there on Saturday. I just hope the weather will be good, early April is pretty dicey.