LibertyBell

some really loud bird is chirping at 3:30 am.... what kind of bird could this be?

so we might be looking at around a +1.5C to perhaps +1.8C el nino on the high end?

Wasn't that similar to 1993-94 too?

hot summers followed by snowy winters usually happen when an el nino hands off to a la nina or vice versa

I'd like to see 90s in April. 80s is still mediocre

yes perfect! and/or 2002

100 with dry heat is perfect!

2002 analog may come into play

2002 had a much better summer and was also followed by a great winter...ditto for 2010

Don is there a chance to hit 90 in April this year?

just glad that the typical rainy spring stuff isn't happening.

is there any evidence for a large airburst meteor strike though?

Probably why it's been getting so hot in Europe the last few years, with London hitting 100. Would this mean rapid warming of our summers eventually too? Because climatologically we should be hitting 100 more frequently than London anyway.

possibly but one hit ACY early in the 1900s I think that was an August hurricane (not sure). But still only Cat 1

Thanks for this! It also seems that although hurricanes maintain intensity further north, a lot of them get closer to Eastern Canada than they do to us. in the above chart does * stand for post tropical?

Yes I think we've heard enough of Hunga Tonga Cowabunga, dude!

Yes to both, the 1821 hurricane was known as the Norfolk and Long Island Hurricane, though how it maintained Cat 4 intensity to Cape May and Cat 3 intensity when it hit Manhattan, I have NO idea. If you look at the track, it looks a lot like Irene's (except slightly farther to the west-- which should mean even more land interaction!) PreColumbine era yes-- there's also evidence of a high end supertsunami resulting from an asteroid impact (maybe the same one that formed Chesapeake Bay....which may have broken into two parts, the second of which landed just east of Toms River!)

It seems to be easier to get a Cat 1 to do that, looking over the 20th century, the only hurricanes that have bent back into the coast were all Cat 1s.

One thing I am puzzled about, with the Gulf Stream warming so much how come we haven't seen a hurricane like Hugo hit us (not that I want that of course, but that was a hurricane that warmed up rapidly because of the Gulf Stream.) Hurricanes still seem to rapidly weaken before they get to our region.

8.... that last one says straight line winds Breaks the record of 7 in one day for NJ from the notorious and lethal outbreak from November 16, 1989 that I remember so well (the one that killed 10 kids at East Coldenham High School in Orange County.) also there was an EF3 in Delaware, wow?! I think that's the one that ended up being lethal?

some of those are truly mindblowing I didn't know it was possible in our area to have temps near 90 during the day and in the 20s at night....anything like this from Westhampton (FOK) or Marthas Vineyard (MVY)..... those are the other two places I know of that radiate really well. I don't see Toms River in here (MJX) either, which I thought they would be

It sounds like it could challenge some of the extreme diurnal ranges at Toms River or Westhampton!

wow the diurnal departures there must be impressive-- the highest in the area?

ugh well that's annoying, like a 19 inch snowstorm or a 99 degree high or a 1 degree low lol Probably got down to 32 on the south shore of Nassau though

There was a spike in temperatures after we passed the Clean Air Act too.