LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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I guess you could say this is more like the late 90s than the late 80s, however the level of warmth now is even greater than it was then, especially in the winter. Note-- we also had a three year la nina then but 00-01 was significantly better than this season even with the March 2001 bust included.
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yeah for snow futility this reminds me of the 80s, but the temps are definitely MUCH warmer....the 80s reached snow futility in a completely different way than what we have going on now.
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I'd like to see sun if it doesn't snow-- rain is completely useless right now.
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why is remote learning so bad? I found in class learning completely useless....I did all my learning reading books in the library and staying ahead of the class and acing my tests without ever really listening to anything my teachers said.
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The "true" average for our area is probably closer to 25"
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Yeah like 10 inches lol
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Bigger question is, can we catch 1932? What happened that year to make January so warm? And the climate was much colder back then.
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Yes, if you use the data from the 1870s through the 1920s or so, NYC consistently averaged over 30 inches of snow every decade, and that was using the old way of measuring snow which did not account for compaction.
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This is no surprise, outside of that little bubble in late December temperatures have been consistently verifying as warmer than forecast. It's why I was dead certain days ago that NYC would get O or a T from this.
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But more than a few days ago, even when he and a bunch of other guys were saying NYC would get measurable snow today, I was dead certain why it wouldn't happen and I gave reasons. So if he has a bias, he didn't have it for this storm, because I was expecting even less snow than he was.
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No one can control the weather so I don't believe any bias really matters.
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01-02 was on par I think
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I can't wait until it hits 100+ this summer multiple days in a row and these same people start whining about it.
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I don't know why some people act like it hasn't snowed in 30 years. Honestly we've had plenty of snow over the last 2 decades. You don't need it every year.
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I didn't even have cable TV growing up (didn't care for it either.)
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You may not believe it but people actually wondered if you were okay when you weren't posting for awhile when the snowless pattern first became clear to people.
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It was much more like an el nino though with the California record rains
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Sell these redneck states to Cuba and Mexico and be done with them. -
What that does is create a pattern where you have to depend on one storm for most of your snow, a la 2015-16 or to a lesser extent last winter.
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I love new paradigms (including in science), they force quick changes and revolutions, they're really a good thing because humans are prone to social inertia and resistance to change. Read what Kuhn had to say on new paradigms.
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at this point you can't ignore what is going on in the rest of the world, this isn't an "unlucky" winter, it's happening all over the world.
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Hey thanks for that. I downloaded that PDF! Now I have something for you-- I read this earlier today, and wow, it's amazing how deadly the poisonous gases from volcanoes can be even when they're not erupting! https://getpocket.com/explore/item/the-history-and-mystery-of-russia-s-valley-of-death?utm_source=pocket-newtab
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It looks like feast or famine winters are more common and the type of winter that might be most common would be one big snowstorm and the rest of the winter is mild.
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I've seen this SE Ridge hang around regardless of the pattern. Weak el nino is actually better for New England, might need a high end moderate to strong here to make the SE Ridge a plus by hitting it with arctic air a la PD2 or Jan 2016 or Feb 1983.
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It seems to be, it's been doing this in the summer too. I think going forward ENSO will matter much less as these warm NW Atlantic waters will create a permanent SE Ridge near our area.
