LibertyBell

Long live 2002 and 2010!

It's not that, it's purely statistical based on how rare double digit snowstorms are in a hostile pattern. And where I live double digit snowstorms no longer happen in March. I would say that from now until the end of the season the chance of a 10 inch snowstorm are less than 10 percent. 6 inches? Maybe 25 percent 4-6 inch storms are a different beast altogether and can happen in any pattern. It's why I specifically referred to double digit snowstorms as being extremely unlikely, not the smaller ones.

What causes wavelengths to change and why can't they change in the middle of winter?

That might have been possible but we already had a 6" snowstorm here. I guess it could still happen in March but the chances of a double digit snowstorm are highly unlikely.

One thing to realize is with this fast flow all events are thread the needle events regardless of how cold it is. This area is very dependent on coastal systems and when they dont happen 90 pct of the time it wont snow. If you're not going to have a coastal storm the only other way to get snow is to have LESS COLD AIR and to have mild air down by southern NJ setting up the storm track there. And that's why we are in a thread the needle type pattern. People always talk about gradient patterns, well we have thread the needle patterns too- and this is it. It can't be too cold or too warm it has to be just right for it to snow here in this kind of stable pattern. And on another note, these fast flows have become much more common lately, might be another function of CC.

12-15 here was a snowfall hole too lol. It's why I like strong el ninos, they are usually huge here.

December and February. It fits my qualifications for a good season -- we need at least two months of snow.

Something I've noticed that was also true in the 50s....when March is your snowiest month it means the winter wasn't all that good. My specific definition of a good snowfall season is to have at least two months with a foot or more of snowfall each. Doesn't have to be a specific duo, it could be any two months.

Because warm and sunny is a hell of a lot better than cloudy and rain.

It's always right when it shows no snow lol. Thats why we call it Dr No!

The face in that last one says it all. You're excited because it offers you hope but you're angry because you know it's false hope

Was that the storm which gave us 10 inches instead of the 3 feet we were supposed to get? If not we really need to start naming these storms, because two big storms in a month gets very confusing.

Bengals and Niners in the Superbowl!

I've never seen such a large area of 12-24 in my entire life. I don't even think Jan 1996 had this large of an area of such heavy snowfall....which makes this output look suspect, expect there to be sharp cut offs with this. Very difficult to get this kind of expansive super large area of heavy snowfall without Atlantic side blocking.

This would be Nemo on steroids with 2 feet of snow getting all the way back to SW Nassau (forget about these insane totals, the big picture is a larger area getting the heaviest snows.)

Makes you wonder what exactly happened that month to make it so cold? It has to be something outside of the regular climate and weather forces.

The fastest warming month

We do know there were shops set up in the middle of the Hudson River and people walked across from Manhattan to New Jersey.

From what I've read there was a day in January 1780 that was even colder than the -15 recorded in February 1934, albeit only barely colder, still it's quite the accomplishment!

Wow I think that was one of those seasons where NYC and Philly had around 100" of snow.

He doesn't want it in summer though so I would love to see an endless 100 plus summer torch NOW that would be a real torch instead of a weaksauce 60 degree winter "torch"

Makes me want to look into geoengineering to put an end to La Nina once and for all-- especially the multiyear events. I went back into that simulation and programmed ENSO to alternate between weak la nina and weak el nino with no multi year events and no neutral events and it spit out an average snowfall of 35 inches a year for NYC. Slowing down the gulf stream by 30 pct on top of that raised that average to 40 inches. Time to put an end to these multiyear la nina events once and for all.

I remember with both of those storms the snow was already done by the time I woke up

Look at all that heat over Siberia

I think it would be a really nice place to get back to nature and find some peace and solace far away from all the noise and commotion- and still be able to drive to all the noise and commotion when that was desired. Can't think of many places like that.