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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Sometimes he says really STRANGE things, I guess you caught him on a good day. It's interesting about the weak -PNA, we do know that PNA matters much less in March, but a strong -PNA will be bad regardless of the time of year.
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why not just want a +PNA lol that would be the best outcome
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whats so special about the post March 10 period where we are supposed to get very cold and possibly snowy? Does the -PNA finally go away? Does the -NAO block get stronger?
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Very bright and sunny here, I guess we'll get close to 50 after all
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Good sign...hopefully it gets colder for the end of week storm too!
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This is one of our bigger busts and it's weird to see a bust on the colder side. When was the last time we busted by 10 or more degrees on the colder side IN WINTER?
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Thanks the first one was the one with marginal conditions where Central Park got 6 inches and JFK got like 3 and the second one was the colder one that was supposed to give us 5-8 but ended earlier than expected and we only got like 3-5 and closer to 3 not 5. Was that second one after the equinox?
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Can you research the two storms in March 1992 and find out the totals for both Central Park and JFK, I'm trying to remember if they were the ones I'm remembering, 6.2" at Central Park for the first one, first 6"+ snowstorm in years, but less at JFK, day time storm. Second storm was predicted to be 5-8 too, because it was colder, night time storm, but it was drier and we ended up with 3-5.
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It reminds me of a few of the other storms like this-- December 2005 (though I think that was more east-west) and March 1992 (which may be an analog for this storm.)
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Yes, would that be bad spacing? Maybe that system from 90-108 will cause the following one to be more suppressed in its wake?
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an inch of snow is fine, no need to get greedy, as long as it doesn't change to rain until the very end, I'm happy
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Is this a case where we need to wait for tomorrow's storm to get out of the way first and get better sampling from that region?
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Why is the GFS the only one with the storm too far north for us?
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I remember that March, it was the first 6" snowfall after many years at Central Park (JFK wasn't so lucky, they had a couple of inches) followed by a second snowfall later in March that was bigger and colder here but less at Central Park....am I remembering that correctly Chris? Do you know offhand what two dates those snowfalls were on in March and the total for each storm at both Central Park and JFK? I think it was 6.2 and 3.2 for Central Park and something like 2.5 and 3.5 at JFK. First was a daytime storm the second was a night time storm.
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I think so, Don posted the numbers in the February thread
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it does make sense though with shortening wavelengths
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I mean it could be delayed to March 15 and we'd still be okay
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National blend of models has JFK with 1.2" and Central Park with 2.1"
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a rude awakening after a very mild January and February in 1990 and then back to warmth by mid March and then snow in early April lol
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wow only 1992 even got into double digits, and the comeback that year was entirely in March wasn't it? I remember we had two decent sized March storms that year. One was about 6 inches and the other one was close to 4 inches. The 6 inch one was less at JFK as the conditions were marginal and it occurred in the day time. The later one was colder and happened at night but it underperformed, it was supposed to be 5-8 but we ended up with 3-5
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It's a pity it doesn't come after 2/28 though it would fun to see a nearly snowless DJF and then get it all in March and April lol. The perfectionist in me hates that it's coming on February 28th.
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it's bad for measuring temperatures in the summer though as it doesn't meet the required distance to be away from foliage and especially trees and it's also really bad with measuring winds. I agree with the other things you said, it's a very pretty park.
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I really wish they'd start measuring snow at New Haven again, I think it would be useful for both the north shore of Suffolk County and for eastern CT. Because we all know Groton is a snowhole too lol
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Thanks lol, it really is too far north for me. I'm more of an east-west guy ;-)
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Prospect Park for the win! Central Park is too far north ;-)