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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    But then we have great performances that stand out like February 1978 which was predicted from a week out. January 1996 you already mentioned....wasn't March 1993 another one? and PD2? The Euro has perceptibly gotten worse over the last few years, why can't we roll back the changes to what it was previously? The other storms I can remember that the models did awfully with was March 2001 and January 2008 (our last Heavy Snow Warning.) Looks like there was another bust today lol.
  2. LibertyBell
    why have the models become less accurate than they were 10 and even 25 years ago? what was different about the mid 90s to the mid 10s?
  3. LibertyBell
    1-2 sounds like a safe bet, 3 inches for those who are extremely lucky
  4. LibertyBell
    we've gotten several snowstorms in the first 10 days of April
  5. LibertyBell
    45 isn't torch for February....60 would be.
  6. LibertyBell
    actually this pattern was rather common in the 80s.
  7. LibertyBell
    yup and we dont even have a double digit snowfall total lol
  8. LibertyBell
    No one anywhere is getting 6 inches from this storm....take these snowfall numbers and cut them in half across the board.
  9. LibertyBell
    How is it going to be 5 inches down south of here where it was even warmer today? No one anywhere gets more than 3 inches from this storm.
  10. LibertyBell
    Maybe we'll get a March 1960 event later in the season
  11. LibertyBell
    How is the Blend for DC 2.2" while the Actual is 12.1"? Is that a typo?
  12. LibertyBell
    so were Strong La Ninas lol
  13. LibertyBell
    I was shocked we had 4 KU events in 2017-18 lol. Are we including the early April 2018 storm as one of them? That was one of my favorite snowstorms that season.
  14. LibertyBell
    Yep, I understand the frustration, ACY getting 12 inches was pretty irritating to watch for me too- it brought back memories of Feb 1989 when I took off from school for a snowstorm that never came, 6-8 inches that was all virga, They never changed the predictions either, I listened to Craig Allen talk about the same prediction that never came to fruition. And this blown forecast was repeated in December 1989, a cold and dry month, during which the one chance we had at a snowstorm (also a 6-8 prediction), turned to rain within a few minutes because of a secondary that formed too close to the coast. Thunder and lightning....and rain.
  15. LibertyBell
    Thanks Walt. Might need to adjust the definition of Arctic fronts since getting to 0 seems to be a once every 2 decade event now.
  16. LibertyBell
    Didn't we have two back to back 4-5 inch snowfalls that month a few days apart?
  17. LibertyBell
    What's the definition of KU? I figured it was that you needed 10 inches of snow in at least one of the major cities?
  18. LibertyBell
    Thanks so much Walt.... why don't people just call it an arctic front snowfall? That's what we called it in the 90s.
  19. LibertyBell
    Yup although some consider Jan 1987 a KU storm. NYC had no 30 inch snowfall winters between 1978-79 and 1992-93
  20. LibertyBell
    Looks like we didn't even make it to 10" snowfall without a KU event outside of 2018-19 which was a vast outlier with 20.5" of snow without a KU event. Wait, 2017-18 had 4 KU events?! I must've missed that! With 40.9 inches of snow were they all 10 inch events and that's all the snow we had the entire season?
  21. LibertyBell
    There is still the likelihood for a big one as the pattern shifts to warmer weather-- root for that.
  22. LibertyBell
    Thats right and if it means the cold air has to go to make it happen, that's a nice trade off. Nothing worse than worthless cold air.
  23. LibertyBell
    Probably more like 1-2 for us here on the south shore, most of our outlets are talking about rain for a few hours at the beginning.
  24. LibertyBell
    it's why all the locals are going with 1" of snow, best to keep expectations low.
  25. LibertyBell
    See the 1980s when it was actually colder than this in January (avg temps around 25) and we saw even less snow than this. Or December 1989 which was even colder with even less snow. You want to have more snow around here? Find a way to nuke the Pacific Ocean and get rid of it.
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