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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    Of course you're right, especially when there are large changes over such a small area, but it's the general impression people get is that there's a lot of waffling back and forth. This is the kind of commentary I get from family and friends.... on a particular day it was supposed to be sunny and now it's going to be cloudy and rainy, I can't trust any forecast anymore. This was in reference to that horribly cloudy period we had a couple weeks ago when it was cloudy for a week straight. They plan their week around 5 or 7 day forecasts so when they went from sunny every day to cloudy every day they used it as an example of inaccurate forecasting. A few days before the forecast was for 3 straight days of sunshine and then it went to 3 straight days of clouds when the week started.
  2. LibertyBell
    It's good for entertainment and then going on their social media and making fun of them for not knowing what they're talking about. It's even more funny when it gets to them and they respond on the air lol. I've had my tweets posted on TV a few times.
  3. LibertyBell
    I follow EVERYTHING The thing is, NO ONE seems to be right about anything anymore. Sometimes/most of the time it seems like the best tool is our intuition (this is what I really use, the other stuff is just GIGO), when you know a pattern is bad, you know a pattern is bad and no amount of modeling is going to change my mind on that.
  4. LibertyBell
    Even JFK hasn't had this kind of multiyear snowfall drought have they? They've had back to back seasons under 10" before and 3 out of 4 seasons under 10" but this is multiple seasons under 5" which is half of that. Although I remember now that JFK woefully undermeasured "Nemo" at 6.4" when everyone around them in every direction (including Long Beach) had at least 10.0" so maybe their snowfall measurements shouldn't be trusted anymore.
  5. LibertyBell
    no one on the south shore got less than 10" I dont see how JFK mismeasured this storm with 6.4".... with the heaviest snows to our east not to our west.
  6. LibertyBell
    omg how did JFK only get 6.4" that's a complete embarassment. even Long Beach measured 10.0" someone at JFK was asleep at the switch. That storm brings back such angry memories for me lol
  7. LibertyBell
    It did get us up near average snowfall. It's maddening to get a lot of rain and then 10" or so of snow on the back end and see that people to your east got over 30" lol. I always thought when it rained here the snow would be to the west. How is it possible for it to rain here and for the snow to be to the east?
  8. LibertyBell
    Probably, but it's still deceptive to say that since they always talk about the snowfall drought of I-95 and always refer to NYC, Philly, Baltimore, DC, etc. al. Plus whenever the "benchmark track" is mentioned it's always in relation to coastal areas around here getting snow.
  9. LibertyBell
    I think them relying so much on the benchmark as a delineator of where it will snow vs where it will rain or mix is a bad idea. We have seen storms that came right across Long Island be mostly snow (Millenium storm) and we've seen offshore storms be mostly rain. It all has to do with the antecedent airmass. I think if you asked experts what determines whether it will snow or not, the number one answer would be the airmass in place as the storm comes in.
  10. LibertyBell
    Yeah but meanwhile their on camera "talent" is still saying (as of 5 minutes ago lol) "big I-95 snowstorm passing over the benchmark"-- makes you wonder how well they know the geography up here?
  11. LibertyBell
    we got a lot of rain and it changed to snow later, not a big deal in the city or here.
  12. LibertyBell
    was Nemo (I HATE THAT NAME!) a triple phaser? Why is it that triple phasers are much more likely to hit coastal Nova Scotia but down here they cut inland?
  13. LibertyBell
    Oh nevermind I thought this was for February 1983 this is the anniversary of that storm.... PD2's anniversary is next week.
  14. LibertyBell
    February 1983? I will call this Blizzard Alpha It's the first 20+" snowstorm I ever experienced and it was right after we moved to Long Island.
  15. LibertyBell
    omg just now on the air they said it is passing right over the benchmark and will be a big snowstorm for the I-95 corridor. Despite whatever their maps show this is what they have been saying for days now with their mouths.
  16. LibertyBell
    Some still think it will pass off the DelMarVa. You guys have to start criticizing the weather channel, they are spreading false info. 1) They have said for days this is a noreaster 2) They have said for days this is passing south and east of the benchmark "ensuring mostly snow for the coast" (their words....) 3) They have said for days now that this is a "monster" I-95 snowstorm. I went at them on social media telling them that they make a good case for why people from the south have no clue what an I-95 snowstorm or noreaster even is and why people in Atlanta have no business making weather forecasts for the northeast. So while we can blame "weenies" the real people to blame, once again, is the media, for spreading false information.
  17. LibertyBell
    It's also frustrating because this is going to become a huge megastorm for Nova Scotia for days at 950 mb. Nothing seems to want to happen at our latitude near the coast though.
  18. LibertyBell
    no blocking until it hits Nova Scotia and bombs out to 950mb for days
  19. LibertyBell
    Let's see if it's wrong and overly warm about these temperatures, because with a low of 37 degrees there will be zero accumulation. What's keeping it from getting colder Don, is the wind coming off the ocean?
  20. LibertyBell
    why does the GFS have a very strange zig zag rain snow line along the south shore lol?
  21. LibertyBell
    a coating to 2 inches seems like a safe bet. Honestly I would be happy with 1 inch.
  22. LibertyBell
    his "feet" must be the size of ants.
  23. LibertyBell
    The part about re-examining global teleconnections is really interesting. It means that analogs no longer have any real value.
  24. LibertyBell
    I think we're privileged to have seen 5 all time greats in those two sports in the last 40 years. Montana then Brady then Mahomes in football and Jordan then Lebron in basketball. I ranked Montana higher than Brady because of his perfect superbowl record and having basically thrown four perfect games in the superbowl because he threw no interceptions and faced the greatest defenses of all time under much tougher rules, but I feel like Brady nudged ahead with that last one because he won a superbowl with an entirely new team.
  25. LibertyBell
    People are going to argue this like they argue Jordan vs Lebron. But for those of us who actually saw Jordan play there really is no comparison, nobody but nobody has ever dominated the game the way Jordan did and under much more strenuous conditions too.
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