LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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90s were fine because of 1992-93, 1993-94 and 1995-96 None of the other winters matter.
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close to single digits at KFOK?
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didn't we set a high pressure record at 30.97 this month? highest pressure since February 13, 1981 31.08
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
we can forget about 1.5, 2.5 is much more likely by 2050 -
Yup all the cold weather has really helped as well as the compacting
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I enjoyed the dry weather. October with 0 rainfall was my favorite fall month ever. I wish we could get one month like that every year.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Read about the winter of 1782-1783 It was absolutely amazing and all because of a little volcano in Iceland. -
It might still be okay for snow in the east come March because of shortening wavelengths though.
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Thanks Don, and by a pretty wide margin!
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and trains too
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Don, is December our most quickly warming month?
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I'd also like to know how the average would change if we threw out December 2015. Warmest December I have ever experienced-- December 2015 Coldest December I have ever experienced-- December 1989 Interestingly, neither saw much snow!
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December 1989 is a textbook example of cold and dry or cold followed by rain followed by more cold. It would be funny if DC saw more snow this winter than we do.
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Maybe someone just needs to get him drunk
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He's also wrong, what was described isn't *suppression depression* You want to see suppression depression? That's February 1989 or the first storm in February 2010.
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Ugh no it's not-- you would do well in that set up. And in case you didn't realize it, YOU LIVE ON LONG ISLAND. Some stupid political border doesn't change the fact that Brooklyn and Queens are geographically part of Long Island! In that January 2022 storm everyone seems to love to reference, Brooklyn got about a foot of snow!
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no it actually happen a lot, you didn't live through the 80s. cold and dry Januarys were the norm.
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we had this all the time in the 80s, see my previous post to see how it happens
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Thats not how it usually works though. What usually happens is when the weather is cold it's also suppressed. In between cold shots we get a cutter and rain. It can be a -3 January with 4 inches of total liquid but 80% or more of that is rain.
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The sun this afternoon melted some of the snowcover here, went from 80% down to about 60% by sunset.
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Don when did the December so-called average temperature become so high? I distinctly remember December average temperatures being around 36 only a couple of decades ago.
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depends on what people consider a great pattern. I'll set my markers as follows If we get at least 4 storms of at least 2-4 inches of snow and single digit cold in at least two outbreaks I'll be happy. We already had one of those 2-4 inch storms in December. That would be better than either of the last two winters by a long shot.
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and no HECS or above 29" winter between 1983-84 and 1991-92
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It's easier to predict cold than snow most definitely. As far as NYC is concerned, at peak cold, I think single digit temperatures are a high probability. Not 0 or below because that's very rare anyway but 5 or so might be a reasonable possibility.
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It would be nice to place some benchmarks for the type of cold we might see. I notice you often use NYC and ATL for your benchmarks. I'm not familiar with ATL climo but as far as NYC is concerned, at peak cold, I think single digit temperatures are a high probability. Not 0 or below because that's very rare anyway but 5 or so might be a reasonable possibility.
