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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    All of those were nothing more than guesses by anyone. One thing we do know as a fact though, we've hit +1.5C of warming over 12 months and a lot sooner than anyone ever expected.
  2. LibertyBell
    I wouldn't call anyone in this forum a "climate specialist" they are all just giving their guesses. Here's a fact though-- we've hit +1.5C of warming over the last 12 months and faster than we thought we would. Can't argue with facts. Let's see where we go from here.
  3. LibertyBell
    are rapid pattern shifts also connected to much faster moving storms? By the way the notable exception to all this was our stuck pattern with the omega block when we were cloudy for a week straight.
  4. LibertyBell
    4:1 to 6:1 when you went inland it was more like 8:1
  5. LibertyBell
    it could also be a split flow and leave us high and dry in between correct?
  6. LibertyBell
    I mean, his name is "snowman"-- maybe he needs a "boost"?
  7. LibertyBell
    I still remember when you were so excited about January 2016. That was our last --true-- great set up for snow. The ones since have been more borderline. They've had temp issues or the storm has been moving too quickly or we were on the edge.
  8. LibertyBell
    at least we're getting to the time of year now where it's more likely to mean warm and sunny rather than just dreary and rainy, I'm remembering some amazing March weather like March 1990
  9. LibertyBell
    Plus it also helps with sound enhancement.
  10. LibertyBell
    It seems like we're in a pattern of winters where the farther you are from the Atlantic, the better.
  11. LibertyBell
    Wow, this is absolutely amazing, thanks Tony! It's weird seeing 1935-36 in the list of coldest winters and coldest winter months considering how mild and snowless the 1930s generally were, if anything I would have thought 1933-34 would have the coldest winter and coldest month of that decade because of how extreme February 1934 was!
  12. LibertyBell
    It wasn't a fluke because back then we had much better blocking and we also had a couple of nice snowfalls in February and went below zero on Valentine's Day
  13. LibertyBell
    Wow, I didn't know Valentine's Day is the anniversary of the great 1899 BLIZZARD! Did the one in 1940 also affect our area? And today is the 8 year anniversary of the last time NYC went below zero! 1899 - A great blizzard struck the eastern U.S. Washington D.C. received 20.5 inches of snow to bring their total snow depth to nearly three feet. The storm produced 36 inches of snow at Cape May NJ. (David Ludlum) 1940 - A "Saint Valentine's Day Blizzard" hit the northeastern U.S. Up to a foot and a half of snow blanketed southern New England, and whole gales accompanied the heavy snow stranding many in downtown Boston. (David Ludlum) 1940: A St. Valentine's Day Blizzard blankets New England with up to 18 inches of snow. Gale force winds associated with the storm strand many in downtown Boston.
  14. LibertyBell
    and I think the elevation helps keep snow cover intact longer too.
  15. LibertyBell
    It's basically either a KU or bust winter, nothing in between anymore.
  16. LibertyBell
    The commonality of 40 F DJF winters is pretty disheartening, and now we're going to have them back to back for the first time ever.
  17. LibertyBell
    and this could become the first time in recorded NYC history that we have back to back winters that average 40 F or higher for DJF?
  18. LibertyBell
    Right, it was like a spring storm in what's supposed to be the heart of winter.
  19. LibertyBell
    and I think it's only NYC that saw 5" from that surprise snowfall, the rest of us got around 2 inches from it.
  20. LibertyBell
    Yes it definitely much worse and the el nino was a lot stronger than this one, which is why I don't think they belong in the same category.
  21. LibertyBell
    That's very similar to mine, although I try to break it down to -/+ too. D- to me is the higher end of the under 10" range. I put 50 plus inches as A+
  22. LibertyBell
    Right, in that way it was very similar to last winter, we had a favorable period in December and a favorable period in March but neither worked out. Which probably means a consistently bad Pacific tilts the "luck" against us. It's very difficult to recover from a bad Pacific because of just how darn large it is. Even if it briefly becomes better, the better periods aren't long enough to benefit us much.
  23. LibertyBell
    That year was a paradigm shift to our climate. I don't believe that climate change occurs in small equal steps, I believe there are certain events, even natural events, that accelerate it. Happy 8 year anniversary of the last time NYC went below zero!
  24. LibertyBell
    and 8 years ago today was the last time NYC went below 0! Happy Valentine's Day!
  25. LibertyBell
    Thanks, I would think the average snowfall in that area is 30"+
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