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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    5 tornado warnings currently within KDIX range.
  2. NJwx85
    LOL I don't think that's right.
  3. NJwx85
    Has anyone asked him why he never posts here anymore? Presumably too busy?
  4. NJwx85
    Almost surprised they didn’t go 15% hatched.
  5. NJwx85
    The rain has an Easterly component North of DC.
  6. NJwx85
    The northern edge of the steady rain is into Baltimore and the center is just making landfall. The trough is ventilating the storm and surging the moisture northward.
  7. NJwx85
    Tons of rain now well into VA way out ahead of the main show.
  8. NJwx85
    Slightly stronger storm, slight tick East, stronger winds make it further inland.
  9. NJwx85
    Yeah it wasn’t modeled to be severe, just the beginning of much more to come. Its probably on the verge of being a Cat 2.
  10. NJwx85
    This line was really well modeled on the 12z guidance.
  11. NJwx85
    It’s developing an inner eyewall on radar.
  12. NJwx85
    Recon found FL winds of 117kts.
  13. NJwx85
    Thinking rainfall is underdone. All that rain in VA and the interior SE is non existent on the mesoscale models except for the RGEM.
  14. NJwx85
  15. NJwx85
    It’s a combination of the trough and moisture streaming north from the hurricane. PRE.
  16. NJwx85
    Tornado threat increasing
  17. NJwx85
  18. NJwx85
    It’s kind of falling apart now.
  19. NJwx85
  20. NJwx85
    18z RGEM nails most of the area with lots of rain. Near Hurricane force winds for the SE NJ coast as well. Waiting for the rest of the run to load.
  21. NJwx85
    Depends what's more exciting to you. 4-6 hours of torrential rain and some gusty winds or 4-6 hours of severe wind, some rain and a few tornadoes. I'll take the second option.
  22. NJwx85
    More likely 7-8PM.
  23. NJwx85
    A broken clock is right twice a day.
  24. NJwx85
    FYP
  25. NJwx85
    You cannot expect models to pick up on the nuances of what's going to happen. Either way, with the center passing overhead or just West, we've known for awhile the biggest threat was the wind, not the rain.
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