sun / mon night gonna be brutal around KBOS
Wouldn't be surprised if Sunday night ends up slightly warmer then Monday night in this area. I'm seeing more of W / WSW component to the surface flow Sun night compared to SW Mon night. Looking back at last weekend, the southerly component overnight def cooled this area off more than I would have expected during the nights.
Either way looking at mins in the U70s - L80s
7/22/11 is great example of this!
Data from my old Davis back home in Shrewsbury that day:
you can see the temp starting to level off a bit at 96 around 1 pm with dews in the low 70s. dews mix out into the low 50s and you get that last 3-4 degree rise .. I believe max was 99.5 and by far the hottest temp I recorded there (since 2006)
for 100 id wanna see no cloud contamination, high launching pad to start, if possible move the plume of 20-21 c 850 temps in earlier, and more of a west component wrt wind direction. even then you are counting on mixing to like 825-800 mb ish?
agreed, but maybe not a big under?
I do think there will be a boundary ( ssw vs wsw flow) like that shown in that depiction that seperates MU 90s and dews in the low 60s and 90ish and dews around 70.
Maybe bdl or ash could make a run at 100, but as of now id take the under by a hair. would need everything to go “right” but its in play imo
add me to the dew crew
very tolerable out this way, upper 70s and mostly cloudy with a nice breeze so far. hopefully we can get some sun and get those temps into the 80s
Euro OP still going crazy with that D5-6 cold shot .. -2 to -4 at 850 for SNE has to be quite rare for early June. Sub 534 thickness for nearly all of New England on Monday
I'd except it to start moderating, but still kinda nuts to see it verbatim.