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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. KBOS pulled a 81 for a low last night .. temps will drop below this evening but still impressive 88/66 at 9 am
  2. return of the smoke from out west? https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRRsmoke/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZipTZA.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_ncep_smoke_jet:&runTime=2021082412&plotName=trc1_int&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=49&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR-Smoke Graphics&maxFcstLen=48&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=full looks like NNE right in the crosshairs this week .. already can see the smoke that will move in this afternoon:
  3. convection starting to fire on the S/E side as recon gets close .. should be interesting
  4. new convection blowing up where it seems the S/SE eyewall is
  5. caveats apply ... but the 18z NAM further east / much slower if anything that's a different look
  6. If Henri is going to intensify, convection will have to start firing up soon near the center .. otherwise it is what it is at this point
  7. Def improvement since midday! Shear prob has maxed and slowly declining. CDO looks more symmetrical, outflow improving although still getting squashed on the N/NE sides. Any idea when the next recon flight is scheduled?
  8. with the slow movement and risk of a stall, def in play
  9. too early imo .. could easily be a wobble. If the LLC and MLC become more aligned even briefly, could go back to WSW heading in the short term too
  10. Ukie also has it at 984 mb at 18z today .. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmet&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2021081912&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
  11. Wednesday might be close .. torch spots prob max in the MU 80s and low 70s dews
  12. 88/76 means the warmest tarmac is 88 and there is one station in SNE with a dew of 76 .. def in play
  13. kbos running 5 degrees ahead of yesterday/ wednesday at this time clear start ftw
  14. launching pad going to be very high tomorrow, I agree tho, all about front timing / clouds
  15. maybe 90? more like maybe 95 today I think tomorrow has a decent shot at cracking 90?
  16. breathe it in! love this weather Wonder if Kbos can pull a 80+ min this stretch? Friday? Saturday if front is delayed?
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