PowellVolz

I’m in Knoxville now and even here I’m getting fat water splatters on the windshield. Upper levels are definitely going to be ok. .

Definitely mixing rain and snow in Halls .

35 .4’ here. All rain .

Did you look to see if it was from temps or qpf? .

03z 1.25”. 09z 1.5” .

Up to 2.5” mean in Knoxville .

Also if you can get mid 20’s DP that should allow 3-6’ degrees for wet bulb .

I thought my DP was wrong but it might be right sitting at 46/26 .

The sky at my house in NKnoxCo is still mostly clear. .

the main thing here IMO is that’s a big correction this late in the game. .

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You where right to say that, it just over performed .

This is the question I have .

Oh lawd .

I think they go WWA for everyone except Knoxville south Down I-40 and Warnings for the mountains .

I’ve been waiting all day for this post. This might turn into something..... .

KCS has 3 days left .

That would be interesting .

FYI... the day of the SE Tennessee snow last Saturday the WRF was the only mod showing snow up to Knoxville. All 3 of those on pivotal made the jump to the NAM/Euro for tomorrow’s system .

MRX’s region is what I was getting at. Where most of us live. I was being silly. .

MRX starting to change their stance on this. Even saying they believe the temp profiles on the mods are to high. “Went ahead and issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the mountains where confidence in increasing for some impactful snow accumulations on Thursday. Across mountain areas where temperatures will be below freezing, total accumulations are expected to be between 2 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts above 4000 feet. For lower elevations of the valley and plateau, confidence is still significantly lower. Anticipate temperatures to be lower than much of current guidance suggests with strong dynamic lift within the right-entrance region of a strong upper jet. Saturation is present through the DGZ, and the thermal profile should support snow for much of the area, including valley locations. However, with much of the snow forecast to occur during the middle of the day, and the increased sun angle in late February, expect it will be difficult to accumulate much of the snow. For this reason, current forecast shows that most accumulations outside of the mountains will be light and limited to mainly grassy surfaces. Most snow will likely melt on contact. Do not expect many impacts to travel across lower elevations with the exception of reduced visibility and potential slick spots if snow rates are heavier than anticipated for a short period of time” .

MRX going with a WWA for the mountains .

In this case the only likely outcome would be 8 to 10” of snow CWA .

Nothing close to a slam dunk and I’m sure that’s why MRX is going safe. .