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Everything posted by PowellVolz
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February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Won’t this translate to overrunning and more likely sleet and or RZ? . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That’s exactly right. In the right “cool” pattern, a well placed ULL can hit a home run. . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That’s pretty much what that means unless we get this going in the next few weeks. Climo starts working against us in about a month but that doesn’t mean snow is out of the question. Saturday in SE Tennessee is a perfect example of just getting everything timed right, even in a period where almost everything is stacked against snow. . -
That’s a good point .
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Maybe it’s me but I’ve noticed recently in these winter time outbreaks you don’t necessarily need strong CAPE north of the best dynamics when lines or QLCS’s develop in the warm sector and move into areas with less destabilization to aid, as long as you still have sufficient wind energy. Seems like they will hang on for a couple of hundred miles before the lack of LI’s or SBCAPE start to eat them up. Knoxville has been just outside of the best combined dynamics and we’ve still had some severe wind during the last 2 events. Just a thought [emoji2369] .
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February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I really hope we get another shot before March. I’m not opposed to snow in March but by then I’m in spring mode. Lawn, landscaping and lotsa golf. . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’m cursed when it comes to snow. . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Incredible that the mods are gonna bust bad on the under. Areas of Chattanooga are gonna easily see 5 inches maybe more. 1 inch reported in west Knox . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Man this is some heavy snow downtown . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Crap.... I wasn’t looking at it that way. I was thinking it might pull the southern wave NW. [emoji2369] . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Is their something in the northern stream getting pulled into this system? Precip just broke out over Missouri . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This map is for what might fall tomorrow . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I disagree. I think mountains will be up to 15-1 with their temps in the low to mid 20’s for highs. That map is for tomorrow morning through early afternoon. While we probably won’t see that much, the point was this mod was much further south its last run. . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
12z WRF . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
25-27 for my low temp tonight. If snow is falling in those temps with no sun at all today I think snow stick to the roads. . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’ve just never heard that said as a limiting factor during our best climatological period for snow. . -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
PowellVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Sun angel at the first of February? . -
Andre Michaux Feb 1796 analogue Storm
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
. -
Andre Michaux Feb 1796 analogue Storm
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Interesting the radar to the NW of our CWA is picking up. . -
Andre Michaux Feb 1796 analogue Storm
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That looks like a couple of inches on those junipers . -
Andre Michaux Feb 1796 analogue Storm
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some “banding” is mixing in with the light returns . -
Andre Michaux Feb 1796 analogue Storm
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Snow showers moving back in off the plateau. Radar actually looks healthy. 8am 9am . -
Andre Michaux Feb 1796 analogue Storm
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
. -
Andre Michaux Feb 1796 analogue Storm
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Definitely melting between 4-5k feet . -
Andre Michaux Feb 1796 analogue Storm
PowellVolz replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like it’s still melting .